Gremio v Cruzeiro match analysis
This analysis was locked at kick-off on Sun 18 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.
Pre-match analysis · as published
Written before kick-off
The model rates Cruzeiro as slight favourites at 36% to win, with Gremio at 35% and a draw likely at 29%. Expected goals total 2.5. Gremio are struggling with three consecutive draws followed by two losses, while Cruzeiro have been more variable; however, Cruzeiro arrive weakened by multiple injuries including Gabriel Pec and L. Sinisterra.
How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off
- 35%Gremio win
- 29%Draw
- 36%Cruzeiro win
PRO analysis
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Form · newest first
GremioLast 5: no wins, 3 draws, 2 defeats
CruzeiroLast 5: 3 wins, no draws, 2 defeats
Past results
From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.
Trends
- Cruzeiro won 6 of the last 9 meetings.
- Over 2.5 goals in 7 of Cruzeiro's last 10 away league games.
- Both teams scored in 7 of Gremio's last 10 home league games.
- Both teams scored in 8 of Cruzeiro's last 10 away league games.
Last meetings
Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.
9 meetings: Gremio 1, draws 2, Cruzeiro 6
Goals: Gremio 7, Cruzeiro 14
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr 2026 | Cruzeiro v Gremio | 2–0 |
| 5 Nov 2025 | Gremio v Cruzeiro | 0–1 |
| 14 Jul 2025 | Cruzeiro v Gremio | 4–1 |
| 28 Nov 2024 | Cruzeiro v Gremio | 1–1 |
| 10 Jul 2024 | Gremio v Cruzeiro | 0–2 |
| 27 Aug 2023 | Gremio v Cruzeiro | 3–0 |
| 23 Apr 2023 | Cruzeiro v Gremio | 1–0 |
| 21 Aug 2022 | Gremio v CruzeiroSerie B · Brazil | 2–2 |
| 8 May 2022 | Cruzeiro v GremioSerie B · Brazil | 1–0 |
Home and away
GremioGremio at home
Last 5: 2 won, 2 drawn, 1 lost
- DrawnInternacional11 Oct 20261–1
- DrawnPalmeiras20 Sep 20260–0
- LostVasco DA Gama12 Sep 20261–2
- WonChapecoense-sc30 Aug 20263–1
- WonSao Paulo8 Aug 20262–1
Gremio: home league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 13 scored, 12 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 7 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 5 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 10
CruzeiroCruzeiro away
Last 5: 1 won, 0 drawn, 4 lost
- LostRB Bragantino13 Oct 20262–4
- WonVitoria20 Sep 20263–1
- LostSantos13 Sep 20261–2
- LostVasco DA Gama30 Aug 20261–3
- LostFlamengoCONMEBOL Libertadores20 Aug 20261–2
Cruzeiro: away league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 16 scored, 14 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 8 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 7 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 10
Rest and schedule
Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.
Gremio- Last match
- 7 days before11 Oct 2026 · v Internacional · Serie A · Brazil
- Next match
- 8 days after26 Oct 2026 · v Coritiba · Serie A · Brazil
Cruzeiro- Last match
- 5 days before13 Oct 2026 · v RB Bragantino · Serie A · Brazil
- Next match
- 5 days after24 Oct 2026 · v Remo · Serie A · Brazil
Injuries and suspensions
- Ruled out
- J. Cabral (Inactive) · Wallace (Yellow Cards)
- Doubtful
- Matheus Nascimento (Inactive)
- Ruled out
- Felipe Morais (Yellow Cards) · Gabriel Pec (Broken Leg) · L. Romero (Injury) · L. Sinisterra (Muscle Injury)
- Doubtful
- N. Villarreal (Ankle Injury)
Published 18 Oct 2026, 19:32 BST · not changed since
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