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Liga MX
Guadalajara Chivas
1–0Finished
Necaxa
Wed 21 Oct 2026 · 01:07 BSTApertura · Matchday 13 · Estadio Akron, Guadalajara

Guadalajara Chivas v Necaxa match analysis

This analysis was locked at kick-off on Wed 21 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.

Pre-match analysis · as published

Written before kick-off

Guadalajara Chivas are heavily favoured at home with a 65% chance of winning. The model expects them to dominate with 2.13 expected goals to Necaxa's 0.94, though Necaxa drew 0-0 in their most recent meeting.

How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off

  • 65%Guadalajara Chivas win
  • 21%Draw
  • 14%Necaxa win

PRO analysis

The full analysis is part of PRO

PRO members can read the full analysis exactly as it was published: the evidence and the risks behind our estimate.

See PRO plans

Free on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.

Form · newest first

Guadalajara ChivasGuadalajara Chivas

Last 5: 1 win, 3 draws, 1 defeat

NecaxaNecaxa

Last 5: no wins, 1 draw, 4 defeats

Past results

From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.

Trends

  • Guadalajara Chivas won 27 of 34 matches in which they scored first, since 27 Feb 2025.
  • Necaxa won 12 of 22 matches in which they scored first, since 2 Mar 2025.
  • Guadalajara Chivas won 7 of the last 10 meetings.
  • Necaxa without a win in their last 5 away games.

Last meetings

Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.

10 meetings: Guadalajara Chivas 7, draws 1, Necaxa 2

Goals: Guadalajara Chivas 18, Necaxa 8

DateMatchScore
23 Apr 2026Necaxa v Guadalajara Chivas0–0
24 Sep 2025Guadalajara Chivas v Necaxa3–1
18 Jan 2025Necaxa v Guadalajara Chivas3–2
23 Oct 2024Guadalajara Chivas v Necaxa3–2
21 Feb 2024Necaxa v Guadalajara Chivas1–0
14 Jul 2023Guadalajara Chivas v Necaxa2–0
9 Apr 2023Guadalajara Chivas v Necaxa1–0
20 Aug 2022Necaxa v Guadalajara Chivas0–4
30 Apr 2022Necaxa v Guadalajara Chivas0–1
28 Aug 2021Guadalajara Chivas v Necaxa2–1

Home and away

Guadalajara Chivas

Guadalajara Chivas at home

Last 5: 3 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost

  • DrawnTigres UANL18 Oct 20261–1
  • LostClub Queretaro27 Sep 20260–2
  • WonU.N.A.M. - Pumas14 Sep 20263–0
  • WonClub Tijuana23 Aug 20265–2
  • WonFC Juarez26 Jul 20261–0

Guadalajara Chivas: home league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
18 scored, 9 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
3 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
4 of 10
Clean sheets
5 of 10
Necaxa

Necaxa away

Last 5: 0 won, 3 drawn, 2 lost

  • DrawnCF Pachuca12 Oct 20263–3
  • LostAtletico San Luis20 Sep 20261–3
  • DrawnTigres UANL6 Sep 20261–1
  • DrawnU.N.A.M. - Pumas24 Aug 20261–1
  • LostToluca3 Aug 20261–3

Necaxa: away league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
11 scored, 22 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
9 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
7 of 10
Clean sheets
1 of 10

Rest and schedule

Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.

Guadalajara Chivas
Last match
4 days before18 Oct 2026 · v Tigres UANL · Liga MX
Next match
4 days after25 Oct 2026 · v Monterrey · Liga MX
Necaxa
Last match
4 days before17 Oct 2026 · v Atlas · Liga MX
Next match
3 days after24 Oct 2026 · v FC Juarez · Liga MX

When the score changes

Each team's results from a given score, in its covered competitions. Every figure shows how many matches it covers.

Guadalajara Chivas

Since 27 Feb 2025

ScoreGuadalajara ChivasLeague sides
Scored first27 won, 5 drawn, 2 lost in 34 matches326 won, 100 drawn, 78 lost in 504 matches
Conceded first2 won, 6 drawn, 16 lost in 24 matches78 won, 100 drawn, 326 lost in 504 matches
Level at half-time9 won, 8 drawn, 4 lost in 21 matches141 won, 168 drawn, 141 lost in 450 matches
Level after 15 minutes20 won, 13 drawn, 12 lost in 45 matches282 won, 214 drawn, 282 lost in 778 matches
Level after 30 minutes16 won, 9 drawn, 10 lost in 35 matches208 won, 178 drawn, 208 lost in 594 matches

Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.

Goals after 75 minutes
ScoreGuadalajara ChivasLeague sides
All matches26 scored, 13 conceded (63)359 scored, 359 conceded (1080)
When leading after 75 minutes10 scored, 8 conceded (24)115 scored, 137 conceded (378)
When trailing after 75 minutes10 scored, 4 conceded (23)137 scored, 115 conceded (378)

After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 29 times, equalised within 15 minutes 5, by full time 13(league sides: 581 times, within 15 minutes 106, by full time 270)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.

Necaxa

Since 2 Mar 2025

ScoreNecaxaLeague sides
Scored first12 won, 4 drawn, 6 lost in 22 matches326 won, 100 drawn, 78 lost in 504 matches
Conceded first3 won, 7 drawn, 21 lost in 31 matches78 won, 100 drawn, 326 lost in 504 matches
Level at half-time6 won, 9 drawn, 7 lost in 22 matches141 won, 168 drawn, 141 lost in 450 matches
Level after 15 minutes9 won, 11 drawn, 19 lost in 39 matches282 won, 214 drawn, 282 lost in 778 matches
Level after 30 minutes8 won, 10 drawn, 16 lost in 34 matches208 won, 178 drawn, 208 lost in 594 matches

Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.

Goals after 75 minutes
ScoreNecaxaLeague sides
All matches16 scored, 29 conceded (56)359 scored, 359 conceded (1080)
When trailing after 75 minutes6 scored, 12 conceded (24)137 scored, 115 conceded (378)

After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 39 times, equalised within 15 minutes 11, by full time 19(league sides: 581 times, within 15 minutes 106, by full time 270)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.

League sides: every team in this league since 23 Feb 2025, both venues, each match counted once for each side. Shown for context, not as a comparison.

PRO depth

PRO depth: Guadalajara Chivas and Necaxa

  • Corners won and concededPRO
  • Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
  • Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
  • First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
PRO: these figures for both teams

Injuries and suspensions

Team news was not available for this match.

Published 21 Oct 2026, 00:02 BST · not changed since

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