Ligue 2
1–2Finished
Fri 16 Oct 2026 · 19:00 BSTMatchday 9

Guingamp v PAU match analysis

This analysis was locked at kick-off on Fri 16 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.

Pre-match analysis · as published

Written before kick-off

Guingamp are slight favourites at 47% to win, but PAU remain competitive with a 26% chance of an upset. The model expects around 2.74 goals, with recent head-to-head meetings showing no clear pattern between these rivals.

How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off

  • 47%Guingamp win
  • 27%Draw
  • 26%PAU win

PRO analysis

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PRO members can read the full analysis exactly as it was published: the evidence and the risks behind our estimate.

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Free on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.

Form · newest first

GuingampGuingamp

Last 5: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 defeats

PAUPAU

Last 5: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 defeat

Past results

From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.

Trends

  • Guingamp won 5 of the last 10 meetings.

Last meetings

Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.

10 meetings: Guingamp 5, draws 1, PAU 4

Goals: Guingamp 20, PAU 11

DateMatchScore
17 Apr 2026PAU v Guingamp2–1
8 Nov 2025Guingamp v PAU2–2
10 May 2025PAU v Guingamp1–3
18 Oct 2024Guingamp v PAU0–1
27 Apr 2024PAU v Guingamp1–2
26 Aug 2023Guingamp v PAU4–0
22 Apr 2023PAU v Guingamp2–1
30 Jul 2022Guingamp v PAU4–0
19 Apr 2022Guingamp v PAU3–0
20 Nov 2021PAU v Guingamp2–0

Home and away

Guingamp

Guingamp at home

Last 5: 2 won, 1 drawn, 2 lost

  • LostRED Star FC 9319 Sep 20261–3
  • WonAnnecy12 Sep 20262–1
  • DrawnNantes29 Aug 20263–3
  • WonBoulogne14 Aug 20261–0
  • LostBastia2 May 20260–1

Guingamp: home league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
10 scored, 13 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
5 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
4 of 10
Clean sheets
3 of 10
PAU

PAU away

Last 5: 1 won, 1 drawn, 3 lost

  • LostMontpellier11 Sep 20260–1
  • DrawnRodez28 Aug 20262–2
  • WonDijon14 Aug 20261–0
  • LostReims9 May 20263–5
  • LostAnnecy24 Apr 20261–5

PAU: away league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
15 scored, 21 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
4 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
6 of 10
Clean sheets
4 of 10

Rest and schedule

Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.

Guingamp
Last match
7 days before9 Oct 2026 · v Nancy · Ligue 2
Next match
7 days after23 Oct 2026 · v Clermont Foot · Ligue 2
PAU
Last match
7 days before9 Oct 2026 · v Laval · Ligue 2
Next match
7 days after23 Oct 2026 · v Grenoble · Ligue 2

Injuries and suspensions

Team news was not available for this match.

Published 16 Oct 2026, 17:58 BST · not changed since

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