Hamburger SV v Eintracht Frankfurt match analysis
This analysis was locked at kick-off on Tue 27 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.
Pre-match analysis · as published
Written before kick-off
Hamburger SV and Eintracht Frankfurt are closely matched, with the model giving Frankfurt a 42% chance of victory against Hamburg's 34%. Expected goals stand at 1.63 for Hamburg and 1.84 for Frankfurt, a gap of 0.21 in Frankfurt's favour. Hamburg's recent form is mixed (LWWWL), while Frankfurt show LWLDW.
How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off
- 34%Hamburger SV win
- 24%Draw
- 42%Eintracht Frankfurt win
PRO analysis
The full analysis is part of PRO
PRO members can read the full analysis exactly as it was published: the evidence and the risks behind our estimate.
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Form · newest first
Last 5: 3 wins, no draws, 2 defeats
Last 5: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 defeats
Past results
From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.
Trends
- Hamburger SV avoided defeat in 7 of 22 matches in which their opponent scored first, since 24 Aug 2025.
- Eintracht Frankfurt won 27 of 45 matches in which they scored first, since 2 Nov 2024.
- Over 2.5 goals in 7 of Eintracht Frankfurt's last 10 away league games.
- Both teams scored in 7 of Hamburger SV's last 10 home league games.
Last meetings
Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.
2 meetings: Hamburger SV 1, draws 1, Eintracht Frankfurt 0
Goals: Hamburger SV 3, Eintracht Frankfurt 2
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2 May 2026 | Eintracht Frankfurt v Hamburger SVBundesliga | 1–2 |
| 20 Dec 2025 | Hamburger SV v Eintracht FrankfurtBundesliga | 1–1 |
Home and away
Hamburger SV at home
Last 5: 3 won, 0 drawn, 2 lost
- WonVfB StuttgartBundesliga17 Oct 20261–0
- Won1. FC KölnBundesliga19 Sep 20262–1
- LostFSV Mainz 05Bundesliga6 Sep 20260–5
- WonSC FreiburgBundesliga10 May 20263–2
- Lost1899 HoffenheimBundesliga25 Apr 20261–2
Hamburger SV: home league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 13 scored, 17 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 7 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 6 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 10
Eintracht Frankfurt away
Last 5: 2 won, 1 drawn, 2 lost
- LostBorussia DortmundBundesliga24 Oct 20260–1
- LostRB LeipzigBundesliga10 Oct 20260–6
- WonFSV Mainz 05Bundesliga12 Sep 20263–1
- DrawnUnion BerlinBundesliga29 Aug 20263–3
- WonSC St. Tönis21 Aug 202611–0
Eintracht Frankfurt: away league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 14 scored, 21 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 7 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 7 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 10
Rest and schedule
Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.
- Last match
- 3 days before24 Oct 2026 · v SC Paderborn 07 · Bundesliga
- Next match
- 5 days after1 Nov 2026 · v Eintracht Frankfurt · Bundesliga
- Last match
- 3 days before24 Oct 2026 · v Borussia Dortmund · Bundesliga
- Next match
- 5 days after1 Nov 2026 · v Hamburger SV · Bundesliga
When the score changes
Each team's results from a given score, in its covered competitions. Every figure shows how many matches it covers.
Hamburger SV
Since 24 Aug 2025
| Score | Hamburger SV |
|---|---|
| Conceded first | 4 won, 3 drawn, 15 lost in 22 matches |
| Level at half-time | 5 won, 9 drawn, 6 lost in 20 matches |
| Level after 15 minutes | 9 won, 11 drawn, 14 lost in 34 matches |
| Level after 30 minutes | 7 won, 10 drawn, 6 lost in 23 matches |
Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.
| Score | Hamburger SV |
|---|---|
| All matches | 9 scored, 18 conceded (41) |
After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 26 times, equalised within 15 minutes 6, by full time 12Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.
Eintracht Frankfurt
Since 2 Nov 2024
| Score | Eintracht Frankfurt |
|---|---|
| Scored first | 27 won, 9 drawn, 9 lost in 45 matches |
| Conceded first | 5 won, 10 drawn, 21 lost in 36 matches |
| Level at half-time | 11 won, 13 drawn, 9 lost in 33 matches |
| Level after 60 minutes | 8 won, 14 drawn, 4 lost in 26 matches |
| 2+ goals up after 70 minutes | 19 won, 1 drawn, 0 lost in 20 matches |
| Level after 15 minutes | 23 won, 14 drawn, 18 lost in 55 matches |
| 1 goal up after 30 minutes | 10 won, 4 drawn, 6 lost in 20 matches |
| Level after 30 minutes | 14 won, 15 drawn, 11 lost in 40 matches |
Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.
| Score | Eintracht Frankfurt |
|---|---|
| All matches | 22 scored, 37 conceded (84) |
| When leading after 75 minutes | 7 scored, 18 conceded (35) |
| When level after 75 minutes | 5 scored, 7 conceded (20) |
| When trailing after 75 minutes | 10 scored, 12 conceded (29) |
After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 48 times, equalised within 15 minutes 10, by full time 23Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.
PRO depth
PRO depth: Hamburger SV and Eintracht Frankfurt
- Corners won and concededPRO
- Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
- Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
- First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
Injuries and suspensions
Team news was not available for this match.
Published 27 Oct 2026, 15:57 GMT · not changed since
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