Heart Of Midlothian v Falkirk · analysis and preview
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Most likely: Heart Of Midlothian win
The model gives Hearts a 56% chance of winning at home, with Falkirk at 20% and a draw at 24%. Hearts have won just one of their last five matches, while Falkirk have won four of their last five. In head-to-head meetings, Hearts lead with three wins in their last five encounters. Expected goals total 2.86, with Hearts projected at 1.82 and Falkirk at 1.04.
How the match could end · our estimate
- 56%Heart Of Midlothian win
- 24%Draw
- 20%Falkirk win
PRO analysis
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Form · newest first
Heart Of MidlothianLast 5: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 defeats
- lost1–3at FC Thun
- drew2–2v Rangers
- won2–0at Motherwell
- lost0–2at Trabzonspor
- lost1–7at Celtic
FalkirkLast 5: 4 wins, no draws, 1 defeat
- won2–0v Celtic
- won1–0at Aberdeen
- won3–0v Kilmarnock
- won2–1at Hibernian
- lost1–2v Dundee
Past results
From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.
Trends
- Heart Of Midlothian won 36 of 43 matches in which they scored first, since 10 Nov 2024.
- Falkirk won 17 of 24 matches in which they scored first, since 3 Aug 2025.
- Heart Of Midlothian won 4 of the last 5 meetings.
- Heart Of Midlothian unbeaten in their last 5 home games.
Last meetings
Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.
5 meetings: Heart Of Midlothian 4, draws 0, Falkirk 1
Goals: Heart Of Midlothian 10, Falkirk 2
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep 2026 | Falkirk v Heart Of Midlothian | 2–1 |
| 13 May 2026 | Heart Of Midlothian v Falkirk | 3–0 |
| 21 Feb 2026 | Heart Of Midlothian v Falkirk | 1–0 |
| 13 Dec 2025 | Falkirk v Heart Of Midlothian | 0–2 |
| 27 Sep 2025 | Heart Of Midlothian v Falkirk | 3–0 |
Home and away
Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian at home
Last 5: 3 won, 2 drawn, 0 lost
- DrawnRangers28 Oct 20262–2
- DrawnFC NordsjaellandUEFA Europa Conference League15 Oct 20261–1
- WonST Mirren10 Oct 20265–0
- WonDundee6 Sep 20262–1
- WonST Johnstone29 Aug 20262–1
Heart Of Midlothian: home league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 25 scored, 6 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 5 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 8 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 5 of 10
FalkirkFalkirk away
Last 5: 2 won, 2 drawn, 1 lost
- WonAberdeen28 Oct 20261–0
- WonHibernian17 Oct 20262–1
- DrawnST Johnstone19 Sep 20261–1
- DrawnDundee Utd5 Sep 20261–1
- LostCeltic29 Aug 20261–2
Falkirk: away league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 11 scored, 14 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 7 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 5 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 10
Rest and schedule
Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.
Heart Of Midlothian- Last match
- 3 days before5 Nov 2026 · v FC Thun · UEFA Europa Conference League
- Next match
- 13 days after21 Nov 2026 · v Dundee · Premiership
Falkirk- Last match
- 7 days before1 Nov 2026 · v Celtic · Premiership
- Next match
- 13 days after21 Nov 2026 · v ST Johnstone · Premiership
When the score changes
Each team's results from a given score, in its covered competitions. Every figure shows how many matches it covers.
Heart Of Midlothian
Since 10 Nov 2024
| Score | Heart Of Midlothian | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| Scored first | 36 won, 4 drawn, 3 lost in 43 matches | 494 won, 147 drawn, 86 lost in 727 matches |
| Conceded first | 7 won, 8 drawn, 17 lost in 32 matches | 86 won, 147 drawn, 494 lost in 727 matches |
| Level at half-time | 9 won, 9 drawn, 9 lost in 27 matches | 164 won, 212 drawn, 164 lost in 540 matches |
| 1 goal up after 60 minutes | 18 won, 2 drawn, 1 lost in 21 matches | 235 won, 77 drawn, 25 lost in 337 matches |
| Level after 60 minutes | 9 won, 8 drawn, 8 lost in 25 matches | 141 won, 204 drawn, 141 lost in 486 matches |
| 1 goal up after 70 minutes | 17 won, 2 drawn, 1 lost in 20 matches | 225 won, 65 drawn, 14 lost in 304 matches |
| Level after 70 minutes | 10 won, 9 drawn, 4 lost in 23 matches | 121 won, 234 drawn, 121 lost in 476 matches |
| 1 goal up after 80 minutes | 18 won, 2 drawn, 1 lost in 21 matches | 238 won, 65 drawn, 9 lost in 312 matches |
| Level after 15 minutes | 33 won, 12 drawn, 14 lost in 59 matches | 402 won, 308 drawn, 402 lost in 1112 matches |
| 1 goal up after 30 minutes | 20 won, 2 drawn, 1 lost in 23 matches | 212 won, 57 drawn, 43 lost in 312 matches |
| Level after 30 minutes | 15 won, 7 drawn, 10 lost in 32 matches | 264 won, 250 drawn, 264 lost in 778 matches |
Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.
| Score | Heart Of Midlothian | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| All matches | 30 scored, 19 conceded (78) | 519 scored, 519 conceded (1542) |
| When leading after 75 minutes | 13 scored, 8 conceded (38) | 206 scored, 165 conceded (555) |
| When level after 75 minutes | 10 scored, 5 conceded (20) | 148 scored, 148 conceded (432) |
| When trailing after 75 minutes | 7 scored, 6 conceded (20) | 165 scored, 206 conceded (555) |
After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 38 times, equalised within 15 minutes 6, by full time 22(league sides: 830 times, within 15 minutes 116, by full time 372)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.
Falkirk
Since 3 Aug 2025
| Score | Falkirk | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| Scored first | 17 won, 3 drawn, 4 lost in 24 matches | 494 won, 147 drawn, 86 lost in 727 matches |
| Conceded first | 2 won, 4 drawn, 17 lost in 23 matches | 86 won, 147 drawn, 494 lost in 727 matches |
| Level after 15 minutes | 11 won, 9 drawn, 13 lost in 33 matches | 402 won, 308 drawn, 402 lost in 1112 matches |
| Level after 30 minutes | 8 won, 7 drawn, 9 lost in 24 matches | 264 won, 250 drawn, 264 lost in 778 matches |
Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.
| Score | Falkirk | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| All matches | 6 scored, 16 conceded (50) | 519 scored, 519 conceded (1542) |
| When leading after 75 minutes | 2 scored, 4 conceded (20) | 206 scored, 165 conceded (555) |
After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 26 times, equalised within 15 minutes 2, by full time 8(league sides: 830 times, within 15 minutes 116, by full time 372)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.
League sides: every team in this league since 5 Aug 2023, both venues, each match counted once for each side. Shown for context, not as a comparison.
PRO depth
PRO depth: Heart Of Midlothian and Falkirk
- Corners won and concededPRO
- Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
- Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
- First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
Injuries and suspensions
Team news not available yet.
Updated 7 Nov 2026, 18:18 GMT
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