Heart Of Midlothian v ST Mirren match analysis
This analysis was locked at kick-off on Sat 10 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.
Pre-match analysis · as published
How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off
- 46%Heart Of Midlothian win
- 24%Draw
- 30%ST Mirren win
PRO analysis
The full analysis is part of PRO
PRO members can read the full analysis exactly as it was published: the evidence and the risks behind our estimate.
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Form · newest first
Heart Of MidlothianLast 5: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 defeat
ST MirrenLast 5: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 defeats
Past results
From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.
Trends
- Heart Of Midlothian won 36 of 44 matches in which they scored first, since 19 Oct 2024.
- ST Mirren won 21 of 34 matches in which they scored first, since 19 Oct 2024.
- Heart Of Midlothian won 5 of the last 10 meetings.
- Heart Of Midlothian unbeaten in their last 5 home games.
Last meetings
Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.
10 meetings: Heart Of Midlothian 5, draws 2, ST Mirren 3
Goals: Heart Of Midlothian 18, ST Mirren 10
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 3 Feb 2026 | ST Mirren v Heart Of Midlothian | 1–0 |
| 14 Jan 2026 | Heart Of Midlothian v ST Mirren | 2–0 |
| 29 Oct 2025 | ST Mirren v Heart Of Midlothian | 2–2 |
| 26 Feb 2025 | Heart Of Midlothian v ST Mirren | 3–1 |
| 19 Oct 2024 | Heart Of Midlothian v ST Mirren | 4–0 |
| 21 Sep 2024 | ST Mirren v Heart Of Midlothian | 2–1 |
| 15 May 2024 | ST Mirren v Heart Of Midlothian | 2–2 |
| 6 Apr 2024 | ST Mirren v Heart Of Midlothian | 1–2 |
| 23 Dec 2023 | Heart Of Midlothian v ST Mirren | 2–0 |
| 23 Sep 2023 | ST Mirren v Heart Of Midlothian | 1–0 |
Home and away
Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian at home
Last 5: 3 won, 2 drawn, 0 lost
- WonDundee6 Sep 20262–1
- WonST Johnstone29 Aug 20262–1
- DrawnRapid ViennaUEFA Europa Conference League20 Aug 20262–2
- DrawnBenficaUEFA Europa League13 Aug 20261–1
- WonDundee Utd9 Aug 20264–0
Heart Of Midlothian: home league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 20 scored, 4 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 4 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 6 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 6 of 10
ST MirrenST Mirren away
Last 5: 3 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost
- LostRangers9 Sep 20260–1
- WonKilmarnock2 Sep 20261–0
- WonFalkirk1 Aug 20262–0
- DrawnPartick21 May 20261–1
- WonAberdeen12 May 20262–0
ST Mirren: away league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 10 scored, 8 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 4 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 2 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 10
Rest and schedule
Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.
Heart Of Midlothian- Last match
- 21 days before19 Sep 2026 · v Kilmarnock · Premiership
- Next match
- 5 days after15 Oct 2026 · v FC Nordsjaelland · UEFA Europa Conference League
ST Mirren- Last match
- 21 days before19 Sep 2026 · v Dundee Utd · Premiership
- Next match
- 7 days after17 Oct 2026 · v Aberdeen · Premiership
When the score changes
Each team's results from a given score, in its covered competitions since 19 Oct 2024. Every figure shows how many matches it covers.
Heart Of Midlothian
| Score | Heart Of Midlothian | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| Scored first | 36 won, 4 drawn, 4 lost in 44 matches | 476 won, 140 drawn, 84 lost in 700 matches |
| Conceded first | 7 won, 8 drawn, 16 lost in 31 matches | 84 won, 140 drawn, 476 lost in 700 matches |
| 1 goal up at half-time | 17 won, 1 drawn, 2 lost in 20 matches | 231 won, 72 drawn, 46 lost in 349 matches |
| Level at half-time | 9 won, 10 drawn, 9 lost in 28 matches | 160 won, 206 drawn, 160 lost in 526 matches |
| 1 goal up after 60 minutes | 18 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost in 20 matches | 227 won, 71 drawn, 25 lost in 323 matches |
| Level after 60 minutes | 9 won, 9 drawn, 9 lost in 27 matches | 136 won, 202 drawn, 136 lost in 474 matches |
| Level after 70 minutes | 11 won, 9 drawn, 4 lost in 24 matches | 117 won, 226 drawn, 117 lost in 460 matches |
| 1 goal up after 80 minutes | 18 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost in 20 matches | 229 won, 62 drawn, 9 lost in 300 matches |
| Level after 15 minutes | 32 won, 12 drawn, 15 lost in 59 matches | 391 won, 296 drawn, 391 lost in 1078 matches |
| 1 goal up after 30 minutes | 20 won, 2 drawn, 1 lost in 23 matches | 201 won, 53 drawn, 43 lost in 297 matches |
| Level after 30 minutes | 15 won, 8 drawn, 11 lost in 34 matches | 257 won, 244 drawn, 257 lost in 758 matches |
Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.
| Score | Heart Of Midlothian | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| All matches | 32 scored, 17 conceded (78) | 505 scored, 505 conceded (1488) |
| When leading after 75 minutes | 13 scored, 7 conceded (36) | 202 scored, 161 conceded (535) |
| When level after 75 minutes | 11 scored, 5 conceded (21) | 142 scored, 142 conceded (418) |
| When trailing after 75 minutes | 8 scored, 5 conceded (21) | 161 scored, 202 conceded (535) |
After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 38 times, equalised within 15 minutes 6, by full time 22(league sides: 794 times, within 15 minutes 108, by full time 353)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.
ST Mirren
| Score | ST Mirren | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| Scored first | 21 won, 8 drawn, 5 lost in 34 matches | 476 won, 140 drawn, 84 lost in 700 matches |
| Conceded first | 3 won, 5 drawn, 30 lost in 38 matches | 84 won, 140 drawn, 476 lost in 700 matches |
| Level at half-time | 10 won, 11 drawn, 14 lost in 35 matches | 160 won, 206 drawn, 160 lost in 526 matches |
| 1 goal up after 60 minutes | 12 won, 8 drawn, 0 lost in 20 matches | 227 won, 71 drawn, 25 lost in 323 matches |
| Level after 60 minutes | 9 won, 6 drawn, 17 lost in 32 matches | 136 won, 202 drawn, 136 lost in 474 matches |
| Level after 70 minutes | 8 won, 10 drawn, 11 lost in 29 matches | 117 won, 226 drawn, 117 lost in 460 matches |
| Level after 80 minutes | 6 won, 14 drawn, 8 lost in 28 matches | 84 won, 234 drawn, 84 lost in 402 matches |
| Level after 15 minutes | 17 won, 16 drawn, 24 lost in 57 matches | 391 won, 296 drawn, 391 lost in 1078 matches |
| Level after 30 minutes | 13 won, 13 drawn, 19 lost in 45 matches | 257 won, 244 drawn, 257 lost in 758 matches |
Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.
| Score | ST Mirren | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| All matches | 18 scored, 31 conceded (77) | 505 scored, 505 conceded (1488) |
| When leading after 75 minutes | 6 scored, 7 conceded (22) | 202 scored, 161 conceded (535) |
| When level after 75 minutes | 8 scored, 14 conceded (28) | 142 scored, 142 conceded (418) |
| When trailing after 75 minutes | 4 scored, 10 conceded (27) | 161 scored, 202 conceded (535) |
After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 41 times, equalised within 15 minutes 9, by full time 16(league sides: 794 times, within 15 minutes 108, by full time 353)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.
League sides: every team in this league since 5 Aug 2023, both venues, each match counted once for each side. Shown for context, not as a comparison.
PRO depth
PRO depth: Heart Of Midlothian and ST Mirren
- Corners won and concededPRO
- Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
- Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
- First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
Injuries and suspensions
Team news was not available for this match.
Published 10 Oct 2026, 04:13 BST · not changed since
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