Hellas Verona v Catanzaro match analysis
This analysis was locked at kick-off on Fri 16 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.
Pre-match analysis · as published
Written before kick-off
Hellas Verona are the model's favoured outcome at home with a 47% win probability over Catanzaro's 26%. Verona have won their last two matches while Catanzaro have struggled with three defeats in their last five.
How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off
- 47%Hellas Verona win
- 27%Draw
- 26%Catanzaro win
PRO analysis
The full analysis is part of PRO
PRO members can read the full analysis exactly as it was published: the evidence and the risks behind our estimate.
See PRO plansFree on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.
Form · newest first
Last 5: 3 wins, no draws, 2 defeats
Last 5: 1 win, no draws, 4 defeats
Past results
From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.
Trends
- Hellas Verona avoided defeat in 8 of 46 matches in which their opponent scored first, since 21 Oct 2024.
- Not both teams scored in 7 of Hellas Verona's last 10 home league games.
- Both teams scored in 7 of Catanzaro's last 10 away league games.
Last meetings
Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.
1 meeting: Hellas Verona 1, draws 0, Catanzaro 0
Goals: Hellas Verona 3, Catanzaro 0
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug 2021 | Hellas Verona v CatanzaroCoppa Italia | 3–0 |
Home and away
Hellas Verona at home
Last 5: 2 won, 1 drawn, 2 lost
- WonVicenza Virtus20 Sep 20262–1
- WonArezzo6 Sep 20265–0
- LostAscoli23 Aug 20261–2
- DrawnVirtus EntellaCoppa Italia16 Aug 20262–2 PEN
- LostAS RomaSerie A24 May 20260–2
Hellas Verona: home league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 9 scored, 12 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 3 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 4 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 10
Catanzaro away
Last 5: 1 won, 0 drawn, 4 lost
- LostSampdoria19 Sep 20261–2
- LostSudtirol5 Sep 20260–2
- LostPisa30 Aug 20261–2
- LostVicenza Virtus21 Aug 20262–3
- WonMonza29 May 20262–0
Catanzaro: away league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 11 scored, 19 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 7 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 5 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 10
Rest and schedule
Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.
- Last match
- 5 days before11 Oct 2026 · v Modena · Serie B · Italy
- Next match
- 9 days after25 Oct 2026 · v Pisa · Serie B · Italy
- Last match
- 5 days before11 Oct 2026 · v Mantova · Serie B · Italy
- Next match
- 8 days after24 Oct 2026 · v Ascoli · Serie B · Italy
When the score changes
Each team's results from a given score, in its covered competitions since 21 Oct 2024. Every figure shows how many matches it covers.
Hellas Verona
| Score | Hellas Verona |
|---|---|
| Conceded first | 2 won, 6 drawn, 38 lost in 46 matches |
| Level at half-time | 5 won, 14 drawn, 18 lost in 37 matches |
| Level after 60 minutes | 5 won, 12 drawn, 12 lost in 29 matches |
| 1 goal down after 60 minutes | 0 won, 4 drawn, 18 lost in 22 matches |
| Level after 70 minutes | 5 won, 14 drawn, 11 lost in 30 matches |
| 1 goal down after 70 minutes | 0 won, 3 drawn, 17 lost in 20 matches |
| Level after 80 minutes | 4 won, 16 drawn, 4 lost in 24 matches |
| 1 goal down after 80 minutes | 0 won, 1 drawn, 23 lost in 24 matches |
| Level after 15 minutes | 6 won, 19 drawn, 25 lost in 50 matches |
| Level after 30 minutes | 6 won, 13 drawn, 20 lost in 39 matches |
Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.
| Score | Hellas Verona |
|---|---|
| All matches | 7 scored, 25 conceded (69) |
| When level after 75 minutes | 4 scored, 6 conceded (25) |
| When trailing after 75 minutes | 3 scored, 14 conceded (36) |
After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 50 times, equalised within 15 minutes 3, by full time 16Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.
PRO depth
PRO depth: Hellas Verona and Catanzaro
- Corners won and concededPRO
- Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
- Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
- First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
Injuries and suspensions
Team news was not available for this match.
Published 16 Oct 2026, 18:27 BST · not changed since
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