Hibernian v Celtic match analysis
This analysis was locked at kick-off on Sun 25 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.
Pre-match analysis · as published
Written before kick-off
Celtic are favoured with a 53% chance of victory over Hibernian, who have won just one of their last five matches. The model expects 2.87 goals in total.
How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off
- 22%Hibernian win
- 25%Draw
- 53%Celtic win
PRO analysis
The full analysis is part of PRO
PRO members can read the full analysis exactly as it was published: the evidence and the risks behind our estimate.
See PRO plansFree on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.
Form · newest first
HibernianLast 5: no wins, 1 draw, 4 defeats
CelticLast 5: 2 wins, no draws, 3 defeats
Past results
From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.
Trends
- Hibernian won 28 of 42 matches in which they scored first, since 27 Oct 2024.
- Celtic won 52 of 61 matches in which they scored first, since 27 Oct 2024.
- Celtic won 7 of the last 10 meetings.
- Hibernian without a win in their last 5 home games.
Last meetings
Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.
10 meetings: Hibernian 2, draws 1, Celtic 7
Goals: Hibernian 9, Celtic 20
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 3 May 2026 | Hibernian v Celtic | 1–2 |
| 22 Feb 2026 | Celtic v Hibernian | 1–2 |
| 30 Nov 2025 | Hibernian v Celtic | 1–2 |
| 27 Sep 2025 | Celtic v Hibernian | 0–0 |
| 10 May 2025 | Celtic v Hibernian | 3–1 |
| 22 Feb 2025 | Hibernian v Celtic | 2–1 |
| 7 Dec 2024 | Celtic v Hibernian | 3–0 |
| 11 Aug 2024 | Hibernian v Celtic | 0–2 |
| 7 Feb 2024 | Hibernian v Celtic | 1–2 |
| 6 Dec 2023 | Celtic v Hibernian | 4–1 |
Home and away
HibernianHibernian at home
Last 5: 0 won, 1 drawn, 4 lost
- LostFalkirk17 Oct 20261–2
- DrawnAberdeen19 Sep 20261–1
- LostKilmarnock15 Sep 20260–1
- LostHeart Of Midlothian3 Sep 20261–3
- LostGentUEFA Europa Conference League27 Aug 20262–3
Hibernian: home league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 9 scored, 14 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 6 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 6 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 10
CelticCeltic away
Last 5: 3 won, 0 drawn, 2 lost
- LostBenficaUEFA Europa League15 Oct 20261–4
- WonMotherwell11 Oct 20262–0
- WonST Johnstone9 Sep 20261–0
- WonST Mirren5 Sep 20262–1
- LostLask LinzUEFA Champions League25 Aug 20261–4 AET 1–5
Celtic: away league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 21 scored, 11 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 7 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 7 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 10
Rest and schedule
Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.
Hibernian- Last match
- 8 days before17 Oct 2026 · v Falkirk · Premiership
- Next match
- 3 days after28 Oct 2026 · v ST Mirren · Premiership
Celtic- Last match
- 3 days before22 Oct 2026 · v Celta Vigo · UEFA Europa League
- Next match
- 3 days after28 Oct 2026 · v Dundee Utd · Premiership
When the score changes
Each team's results from a given score, in its covered competitions since 27 Oct 2024. Every figure shows how many matches it covers.
Hibernian
| Score | Hibernian | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| Scored first | 28 won, 11 drawn, 3 lost in 42 matches | 489 won, 142 drawn, 85 lost in 716 matches |
| Conceded first | 3 won, 8 drawn, 19 lost in 30 matches | 85 won, 142 drawn, 489 lost in 716 matches |
| 1 goal up at half-time | 15 won, 8 drawn, 1 lost in 24 matches | 238 won, 73 drawn, 47 lost in 358 matches |
| Level at half-time | 7 won, 14 drawn, 4 lost in 25 matches | 162 won, 208 drawn, 162 lost in 532 matches |
| Level after 60 minutes | 7 won, 13 drawn, 5 lost in 25 matches | 139 won, 202 drawn, 139 lost in 480 matches |
| Level after 70 minutes | 7 won, 18 drawn, 6 lost in 31 matches | 119 won, 228 drawn, 119 lost in 466 matches |
| Level after 80 minutes | 4 won, 17 drawn, 4 lost in 25 matches | 85 won, 238 drawn, 85 lost in 408 matches |
| Level after 15 minutes | 17 won, 20 drawn, 16 lost in 53 matches | 397 won, 300 drawn, 397 lost in 1094 matches |
| 1 goal up after 30 minutes | 17 won, 5 drawn, 2 lost in 24 matches | 210 won, 54 drawn, 43 lost in 307 matches |
| Level after 30 minutes | 8 won, 16 drawn, 11 lost in 35 matches | 260 won, 246 drawn, 260 lost in 766 matches |
Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.
| Score | Hibernian | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| All matches | 31 scored, 23 conceded (79) | 511 scored, 511 conceded (1520) |
| When leading after 75 minutes | 16 scored, 10 conceded (31) | 205 scored, 163 conceded (549) |
| When level after 75 minutes | 9 scored, 8 conceded (27) | 143 scored, 143 conceded (422) |
| When trailing after 75 minutes | 6 scored, 5 conceded (21) | 163 scored, 205 conceded (549) |
After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 35 times, equalised within 15 minutes 9, by full time 18(league sides: 816 times, within 15 minutes 113, by full time 362)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.
Celtic
| Score | Celtic | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| Scored first | 52 won, 5 drawn, 4 lost in 61 matches | 489 won, 142 drawn, 85 lost in 716 matches |
| Conceded first | 11 won, 4 drawn, 19 lost in 34 matches | 85 won, 142 drawn, 489 lost in 716 matches |
| 2+ goals up at half-time | 19 won, 1 drawn, 0 lost in 20 matches | 124 won, 9 drawn, 3 lost in 136 matches |
| 1 goal up at half-time | 24 won, 1 drawn, 2 lost in 27 matches | 238 won, 73 drawn, 47 lost in 358 matches |
| Level at half-time | 17 won, 9 drawn, 6 lost in 32 matches | 162 won, 208 drawn, 162 lost in 532 matches |
| 2+ goals up after 60 minutes | 28 won, 0 drawn, 0 lost in 28 matches | 177 won, 12 drawn, 1 lost in 190 matches |
| 1 goal up after 60 minutes | 19 won, 2 drawn, 1 lost in 22 matches | 232 won, 73 drawn, 25 lost in 330 matches |
| Level after 60 minutes | 13 won, 10 drawn, 2 lost in 25 matches | 139 won, 202 drawn, 139 lost in 480 matches |
| 2+ goals up after 70 minutes | 30 won, 0 drawn, 0 lost in 30 matches | 217 won, 9 drawn, 2 lost in 228 matches |
| 1 goal up after 70 minutes | 21 won, 3 drawn, 0 lost in 24 matches | 222 won, 63 drawn, 14 lost in 299 matches |
| Level after 70 minutes | 12 won, 9 drawn, 2 lost in 23 matches | 119 won, 228 drawn, 119 lost in 466 matches |
| 2+ goals up after 80 minutes | 33 won, 0 drawn, 0 lost in 33 matches | 245 won, 5 drawn, 0 lost in 250 matches |
| 1 goal up after 80 minutes | 20 won, 2 drawn, 0 lost in 22 matches | 235 won, 62 drawn, 9 lost in 306 matches |
| Level after 80 minutes | 10 won, 9 drawn, 2 lost in 21 matches | 85 won, 238 drawn, 85 lost in 408 matches |
| Level after 15 minutes | 43 won, 10 drawn, 13 lost in 66 matches | 397 won, 300 drawn, 397 lost in 1094 matches |
| 1 goal up after 30 minutes | 24 won, 3 drawn, 3 lost in 30 matches | 210 won, 54 drawn, 43 lost in 307 matches |
| Level after 30 minutes | 24 won, 9 drawn, 7 lost in 40 matches | 260 won, 246 drawn, 260 lost in 766 matches |
Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.
| Score | Celtic | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| All matches | 44 scored, 15 conceded (100) | 511 scored, 511 conceded (1520) |
| When leading after 75 minutes | 23 scored, 6 conceded (54) | 205 scored, 163 conceded (549) |
| When level after 75 minutes | 16 scored, 3 conceded (23) | 143 scored, 143 conceded (422) |
| When trailing after 75 minutes | 5 scored, 6 conceded (23) | 163 scored, 205 conceded (549) |
After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 44 times, equalised within 15 minutes 10, by full time 23(league sides: 816 times, within 15 minutes 113, by full time 362)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.
League sides: every team in this league since 5 Aug 2023, both venues, each match counted once for each side. Shown for context, not as a comparison.
PRO depth
PRO depth: Hibernian and Celtic
- Corners won and concededPRO
- Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
- Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
- First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
Injuries and suspensions
Team news was not available for this match.
Published 25 Oct 2026, 10:58 GMT · not changed since
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