HJK Helsinki v KuPS match analysis
This analysis was locked at kick-off on Sun 25 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.
Pre-match analysis · as published
Written before kick-off
HJK Helsinki are favoured with a 43% chance of winning this encounter against KuPS, who have won just once in their last five matches. The model expects 2.79 goals and gives HJK an attacking advantage with expected goals of 1.53 to KuPS' 1.26.
How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off
- 43%HJK Helsinki win
- 27%Draw
- 30%KuPS win
PRO analysis
The full analysis is part of PRO
PRO members can read the full analysis exactly as it was published: the evidence and the risks behind our estimate.
See PRO plansFree on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.
Form · newest first
Last 5: 3 wins, 2 draws, no defeats
Last 5: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 defeats
Past results
From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.
Trends
- KuPS won 6 of the last 10 meetings.
- Over 2.5 goals in 8 of HJK Helsinki's last 10 home league games.
- Under 2.5 goals in 7 of KuPS's last 10 away league games.
Last meetings
Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.
10 meetings: HJK Helsinki 1, draws 3, KuPS 6
Goals: HJK Helsinki 6, KuPS 18
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep 2026 | KuPS v HJK Helsinki | 0–0 |
| 27 Jun 2026 | HJK Helsinki v KuPS | 0–4 |
| 26 Apr 2026 | KuPS v HJK Helsinki | 1–1 |
| 9 Nov 2025 | HJK Helsinki v KuPS | 0–2 |
| 19 Oct 2025 | KuPS v HJK Helsinki | 3–1 |
| 27 Jun 2025 | KuPS v HJK Helsinki | 3–0 |
| 31 May 2025 | HJK Helsinki v KuPS | 0–0 |
| 19 Oct 2024 | KuPS v HJK Helsinki | 1–0 |
| 19 Jun 2024 | HJK Helsinki v KuPS | 3–1 |
| 6 Apr 2024 | KuPS v HJK Helsinki | 3–1 |
Home and away
HJK Helsinki at home
Last 5: 4 won, 0 drawn, 1 lost
- WonGnistan17 Oct 20264–0
- WonVPS8 Oct 20266–0
- WonInter Turku9 Sep 20262–1
- LostGnistan23 Aug 20262–3
- WonFF Jaro16 Aug 20263–0
HJK Helsinki: home league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 24 scored, 12 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 4 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 8 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 5 of 10
KuPS away
Last 5: 1 won, 1 drawn, 3 lost
- LostBorac Banja LukaUEFA Europa Conference League22 Oct 20260–2
- LostInter Turku11 Oct 20260–1
- WonVPS19 Sep 20262–0
- DrawnGnistan8 Sep 20261–1
- LostInter Turku31 Aug 20260–1
KuPS: away league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 15 scored, 6 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 4 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 3 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 10
Rest and schedule
Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.
- Last match
- 8 days before17 Oct 2026 · v Gnistan · Veikkausliiga
- Next match
- 4 days after29 Oct 2026 · v Inter Turku · Veikkausliiga
- Last match
- 3 days before22 Oct 2026 · v Borac Banja Luka · UEFA Europa Conference League
- Next match
- 4 days after29 Oct 2026 · v Gnistan · Veikkausliiga
Injuries and suspensions
Team news was not available for this match.
Published 25 Oct 2026, 11:58 GMT · not changed since
All fixtures