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Holstein Kiel
1–1Finished
1899 Hoffenheim
Wed 28 Oct 2026 · 19:45 GMTRound of 32 · Holstein-Stadion, Kiel

Holstein Kiel v 1899 Hoffenheim match analysis

This analysis was locked at kick-off on Wed 28 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.

Pre-match analysis · as published

Written before kick-off

The model makes Hoffenheim strong favourites with a 55% chance of winning, against Kiel's 23% and a 22% draw probability. Expected goals total 3.34 with a gap of 0.8 in Hoffenheim's favour. Hoffenheim have won three straight; Kiel have lost three of five. Head-to-head favours Hoffenheim, who won 3-1 at home last season and 3-1 away earlier this year.

How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off

  • 23%Holstein Kiel win
  • 22%Draw
  • 55%1899 Hoffenheim win

PRO analysis

The full analysis is part of PRO

PRO members can read the full analysis exactly as it was published: the evidence and the risks behind our estimate.

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Free on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.

Form · newest first

Holstein KielHolstein Kiel

Last 5: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 defeats

1899 Hoffenheim1899 Hoffenheim

Last 5: 3 wins, no draws, 2 defeats

Past results

From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.

Trends

  • 1899 Hoffenheim won 21 of 28 matches in which they scored first, since 2 Nov 2024.
  • 1899 Hoffenheim won 3 of the last 3 meetings.
  • Holstein Kiel unbeaten in their last 5 home games.
  • Over 2.5 goals in 10 of 1899 Hoffenheim's last 10 away league games.

Last meetings

Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.

3 meetings: Holstein Kiel 0, draws 0, 1899 Hoffenheim 3

Goals: Holstein Kiel 4, 1899 Hoffenheim 11

DateMatchScore
18 Jan 2025Holstein Kiel v 1899 HoffenheimBundesliga1–3
24 Aug 20241899 Hoffenheim v Holstein KielBundesliga3–2
26 Oct 20211899 Hoffenheim v Holstein Kiel5–1

Home and away

Holstein Kiel

Holstein Kiel at home

Last 5: 1 won, 4 drawn, 0 lost

  • WonDynamo Dresden2. Bundesliga25 Oct 20263–0
  • DrawnHertha BSC2. Bundesliga16 Oct 20260–0
  • DrawnVfL Osnabrück2. Bundesliga19 Sep 20261–1
  • Drawn1. FC Nürnberg2. Bundesliga5 Sep 20262–2
  • DrawnFC St. Pauli2. Bundesliga14 Aug 20262–2

Holstein Kiel: home league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
16 scored, 11 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
5 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
6 of 10
Clean sheets
5 of 10
1899 Hoffenheim

1899 Hoffenheim away

Last 5: 2 won, 0 drawn, 3 lost

  • WonBorussia MönchengladbachBundesliga18 Oct 20262–1
  • LostSC Paderborn 07Bundesliga20 Sep 20261–3
  • LostOFIUEFA Europa League17 Sep 20260–2
  • Lost1. FC KölnBundesliga29 Aug 20262–3
  • WonErzgebirge Aue22 Aug 20264–0

1899 Hoffenheim: away league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
16 scored, 28 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
8 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
10 of 10
Clean sheets
0 of 10

Rest and schedule

Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.

Holstein Kiel
Last match
3 days before25 Oct 2026 · v Dynamo Dresden · 2. Bundesliga
Next match
4 days after1 Nov 2026 · v SpVgg Greuther Fürth · 2. Bundesliga
1899 Hoffenheim
Last match
3 days before25 Oct 2026 · v Bayer Leverkusen · Bundesliga
Next match
3 days after31 Oct 2026 · v Werder Bremen · Bundesliga

When the score changes

Each team's results from a given score, in its covered competitions since 2 Nov 2024. Every figure shows how many matches it covers.

1899 Hoffenheim

Score1899 Hoffenheim
Scored first21 won, 4 drawn, 3 lost in 28 matches
Conceded first7 won, 11 drawn, 26 lost in 44 matches
Level at half-time7 won, 12 drawn, 5 lost in 24 matches
Level after 15 minutes18 won, 11 drawn, 20 lost in 49 matches
Level after 30 minutes12 won, 10 drawn, 9 lost in 31 matches
1 goal down after 30 minutes4 won, 5 drawn, 11 lost in 20 matches

Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.

Goals after 75 minutes
Score1899 Hoffenheim
All matches24 scored, 32 conceded (75)
When leading after 75 minutes8 scored, 10 conceded (29)
When trailing after 75 minutes10 scored, 16 conceded (29)

After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 54 times, equalised within 15 minutes 9, by full time 30Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.

PRO depth

PRO depth: Holstein Kiel and 1899 Hoffenheim

  • Corners won and concededPRO
  • Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
  • Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
  • First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
PRO: these figures for both teams

Injuries and suspensions

Team news was not available for this match.

Published 28 Oct 2026, 18:43 GMT · not changed since

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