Holstein Kiel v Arminia Bielefeld match analysis
Our selection
PRO members see our selection for this match.
This analysis was locked at kick-off on Sat 7 Nov 2026 and has not been changed since.
Pre-match analysis · as published
Written before kick-off
The model gives Holstein Kiel a 44% chance of winning at home, with Arminia Bielefeld at 30% and a draw at 27%. Kiel are expected to create a 0.29 expected goals advantage, with combined expected goals of 2.79. Kiel have managed only one win in five recent matches, whereas Bielefeld show three wins in their last five. The teams drew 2-2 when they met in January.
How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off
- 44%Holstein Kiel win
- 27%Draw
- 29%Arminia Bielefeld win
PRO analysis
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Form · newest first
Last 5: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 defeats
- lost0–1at SpVgg Greuther Fürth
- drew1–1v 1899 Hoffenheim
- won3–0v Dynamo Dresden
- drew0–0v Hertha BSC
- lost0–1at Eintracht Braunschweig
Last 5: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 defeat
- won3–1v Eintracht Braunschweig
- lost0–1at Hertha BSC
- won2–1v VfL Osnabrück
- won1–0at VfL Bochum
- drew2–2v 1. FC Heidenheim
Past results
From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.
Trends
- Arminia Bielefeld won 3 of the last 4 meetings.
- Holstein Kiel unbeaten in their last 5 home games.
Last meetings
Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.
4 meetings: Holstein Kiel 0, draws 1, Arminia Bielefeld 3
Goals: Holstein Kiel 6, Arminia Bielefeld 11
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan 2026 | Arminia Bielefeld v Holstein Kiel | 2–2 |
| 10 Aug 2025 | Holstein Kiel v Arminia Bielefeld | 0–2 |
| 2 Apr 2023 | Holstein Kiel v Arminia Bielefeld | 2–3 |
| 17 Sep 2022 | Arminia Bielefeld v Holstein Kiel | 4–2 |
Home and away
Holstein Kiel at home
Last 5: 1 won, 4 drawn, 0 lost
- Drawn1899 HoffenheimDFB Pokal28 Oct 20261–1 PEN
- WonDynamo Dresden25 Oct 20263–0
- DrawnHertha BSC16 Oct 20260–0
- DrawnVfL Osnabrück19 Sep 20261–1
- Drawn1. FC Nürnberg5 Sep 20262–2
Holstein Kiel: home league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 16 scored, 11 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 5 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 6 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 5 of 10
Arminia Bielefeld away
Last 5: 1 won, 1 drawn, 3 lost
- LostHertha BSC24 Oct 20260–1
- WonVfL Bochum11 Oct 20261–0
- LostSV Darmstadt 9811 Sep 20261–2
- Lost1. FC Nürnberg29 Aug 20261–4
- DrawnSG Sonnenhof GrossaspachDFB Pokal22 Aug 20262–2 PEN
Arminia Bielefeld: away league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 9 scored, 21 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 6 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 6 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 10
Rest and schedule
Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.
- Last match
- 6 days before1 Nov 2026 · v SpVgg Greuther Fürth · 2. Bundesliga
- Next match
- 14 days after21 Nov 2026 · v VfL Wolfsburg · 2. Bundesliga
- Last match
- 8 days before30 Oct 2026 · v Eintracht Braunschweig · 2. Bundesliga
- Next match
- 13 days after20 Nov 2026 · v 1. FC Magdeburg · 2. Bundesliga
PRO depth
PRO depth: Holstein Kiel and Arminia Bielefeld
- Corners won and concededPRO
- Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
- Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
- First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
Injuries and suspensions
Team news was not available for this match.
Published 7 Nov 2026, 10:57 GMT · not changed since
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