Holstein Kiel v Dynamo Dresden match analysis
This analysis was locked at kick-off on Sun 25 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.
Pre-match analysis · as published
How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off
- 42%Holstein Kiel win
- 26%Draw
- 32%Dynamo Dresden win
PRO analysis
The full analysis is part of PRO
PRO members can read the full analysis exactly as it was published: the evidence and the risks behind our estimate.
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Form · newest first
Last 5: no wins, 3 draws, 2 defeats
Last 5: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 defeats
Past results
From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.
Trends
- Holstein Kiel won 18 of 30 matches in which they scored first, since 26 Oct 2024.
- Dynamo Dresden won 13 of 26 matches in which they scored first, since 3 Aug 2025.
- Holstein Kiel won 2 of the last 4 meetings.
- Holstein Kiel without a win in their last 5 home games.
Last meetings
Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.
4 meetings: Holstein Kiel 2, draws 1, Dynamo Dresden 1
Goals: Holstein Kiel 5, Dynamo Dresden 4
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 17 May 2026 | Dynamo Dresden v Holstein Kiel | 2–1 |
| 20 Dec 2025 | Holstein Kiel v Dynamo Dresden | 2–1 |
| 16 Apr 2022 | Dynamo Dresden v Holstein Kiel | 0–0 |
| 5 Nov 2021 | Holstein Kiel v Dynamo Dresden | 2–1 |
Home and away
Holstein Kiel at home
Last 5: 0 won, 4 drawn, 1 lost
- DrawnHertha BSC16 Oct 20260–0
- DrawnVfL Osnabrück19 Sep 20261–1
- Drawn1. FC Nürnberg5 Sep 20262–2
- DrawnFC St. Pauli14 Aug 20262–2
- Lost1. FC Magdeburg9 May 20261–3
Holstein Kiel: home league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 14 scored, 12 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 6 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 5 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 10
Dynamo Dresden away
Last 5: 1 won, 2 drawn, 2 lost
- DrawnVfL Osnabrück10 Oct 20261–1
- DrawnEintracht Braunschweig12 Sep 20262–2
- Lost1. FC Heidenheim29 Aug 20263–5
- WonWestfalia RhynernDFB Pokal23 Aug 20266–0
- Lost1. FC Nürnberg9 Aug 20260–3
Dynamo Dresden: away league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 14 scored, 21 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 7 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 7 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 10
Rest and schedule
Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.
- Last match
- 9 days before16 Oct 2026 · v Hertha BSC · 2. Bundesliga
- Next match
- 3 days after28 Oct 2026 · v 1899 Hoffenheim · DFB Pokal
- Last match
- 7 days before18 Oct 2026 · v 1. FC Magdeburg · 2. Bundesliga
- Next match
- 3 days after28 Oct 2026 · v FC Schalke 04 · DFB Pokal
When the score changes
Each team's results from a given score, in its covered competitions. Every figure shows how many matches it covers.
Holstein Kiel
Since 26 Oct 2024
| Score | Holstein Kiel | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| Scored first | 18 won, 8 drawn, 4 lost in 30 matches | 303 won, 101 drawn, 61 lost in 465 matches |
| Conceded first | 2 won, 8 drawn, 31 lost in 41 matches | 61 won, 101 drawn, 303 lost in 465 matches |
| Level at half-time | 4 won, 8 drawn, 10 lost in 22 matches | 134 won, 132 drawn, 134 lost in 400 matches |
| 2+ goals down after 80 minutes | 0 won, 0 drawn, 20 lost in 20 matches | 0 won, 3 drawn, 146 lost in 149 matches |
| Level after 15 minutes | 17 won, 14 drawn, 25 lost in 56 matches | 238 won, 198 drawn, 238 lost in 674 matches |
| Level after 30 minutes | 11 won, 13 drawn, 10 lost in 34 matches | 183 won, 174 drawn, 183 lost in 540 matches |
| 1 goal down after 30 minutes | 0 won, 2 drawn, 19 lost in 21 matches | 29 won, 36 drawn, 112 lost in 177 matches |
Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.
| Score | Holstein Kiel | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| All matches | 26 scored, 23 conceded (73) | 333 scored, 333 conceded (980) |
| When leading after 75 minutes | 6 scored, 5 conceded (20) | 119 scored, 125 conceded (347) |
| When level after 75 minutes | 4 scored, 8 conceded (20) | 89 scored, 89 conceded (286) |
| When trailing after 75 minutes | 16 scored, 10 conceded (33) | 125 scored, 119 conceded (347) |
After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 45 times, equalised within 15 minutes 8, by full time 17(league sides: 557 times, within 15 minutes 106, by full time 273)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.
Dynamo Dresden
Since 3 Aug 2025
| Score | Dynamo Dresden | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| Scored first | 13 won, 7 drawn, 6 lost in 26 matches | 303 won, 101 drawn, 61 lost in 465 matches |
| Level after 15 minutes | 8 won, 8 drawn, 10 lost in 26 matches | 238 won, 198 drawn, 238 lost in 674 matches |
Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.
| Score | Dynamo Dresden | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| All matches | 10 scored, 17 conceded (44) | 333 scored, 333 conceded (980) |
After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 22 times, equalised within 15 minutes 3, by full time 9(league sides: 557 times, within 15 minutes 106, by full time 273)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.
League sides: every team in this league since 23 Feb 2025, both venues, each match counted once for each side. Shown for context, not as a comparison.
PRO depth
PRO depth: Holstein Kiel and Dynamo Dresden
- Corners won and concededPRO
- Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
- Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
- First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
Injuries and suspensions
Team news was not available for this match.
Published 25 Oct 2026, 11:28 GMT · not changed since
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