UEFA Nations League
Iceland
17:00
Luxembourg
Mon 16 Nov 2026 · GMTLeague C · Matchday 6

Iceland v Luxembourg · analysis and preview

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No signal on this match

Most likely: Iceland win

Iceland are favoured with a 52% chance of winning, while Luxembourg have a 21% chance and draws are modelled at 28%. Expected goals total 2.38 with a gap of 0.62 in Iceland's favour. Iceland won 3-0 in their last meeting and are on stronger recent form after two wins in five matches, while Luxembourg have recovered from three defeats to win twice.

How the match could end · our estimate

  • 52%Iceland win
  • 28%Draw
  • 20%Luxembourg win

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Form · newest first

IcelandIceland

Last 5: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 defeat

  1. drew0–0at Estonia
  2. won3–0v Bulgaria
  3. won3–0at Luxembourg
  4. drew1–1v Estonia
  5. lost0–3at Argentina
LuxembourgLuxembourg

Last 5: 2 wins, no draws, 3 defeats

  1. lost0–2v Bulgaria
  2. lost0–1at Estonia
  3. lost0–3v Iceland
  4. won2–1at Bulgaria
  5. won1–0at Albania

Head-to-head

DateMatchScore
29 Sep 2026Luxembourg — Iceland0–3

Injuries and suspensions

Team news not available yet.

Updated 7 Nov 2026, 15:48 GMT

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