Iceland v Luxembourg · analysis and preview
Add to JournalNo signal on this match
Most likely: Iceland win
Iceland are favoured with a 52% chance of winning, while Luxembourg have a 21% chance and draws are modelled at 28%. Expected goals total 2.38 with a gap of 0.62 in Iceland's favour. Iceland won 3-0 in their last meeting and are on stronger recent form after two wins in five matches, while Luxembourg have recovered from three defeats to win twice.
How the match could end · our estimate
- 52%Iceland win
- 28%Draw
- 20%Luxembourg win
PRO analysis
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Form · newest first
Last 5: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 defeat
- drew0–0at Estonia
- won3–0v Bulgaria
- won3–0at Luxembourg
- drew1–1v Estonia
- lost0–3at Argentina
Last 5: 2 wins, no draws, 3 defeats
- lost0–2v Bulgaria
- lost0–1at Estonia
- lost0–3v Iceland
- won2–1at Bulgaria
- won1–0at Albania
Head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep 2026 | Luxembourg — Iceland | 0–3 |
Injuries and suspensions
Team news not available yet.
Updated 7 Nov 2026, 15:48 GMT
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