Primera ASun 1 Nov 2026 · 23:10 GMTClausura · Matchday 17 · Estadio Atanasio Girardot, Medellin

Independiente Medellin v Alianza Valledupar match analysis

This analysis was locked at kick-off on Sun 1 Nov 2026 and has not been changed since.

Pre-match analysis · as published

Written before kick-off

Independiente Medellin are favoured at home, with the model giving them a 63% chance of victory and expected goals of 1.88 to Alianza Valledupar's 0.82. Medellin have lost four of their last five matches, while Valledupar have improved recently with two wins in five. Head-to-head meetings are tight, with one win to Medellin and two draws across their last three encounters.

How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off

  • 63%Independiente Medellin win
  • 23%Draw
  • 14%Alianza Valledupar win

PRO analysis

The full analysis is part of PRO

PRO members can read the full analysis exactly as it was published: the evidence and the risks behind our estimate.

See PRO plans

Free on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.

Form · newest first

Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin

Last 5: 1 win, no draws, 4 defeats

  1. lost1–3at Internacional de Bogota
  2. lost1–2at Atletico Nacional
  3. lost0–2v Once Caldas
  4. won2–1at America de Cali
  5. lost0–1v Santa Fe
Alianza ValleduparAlianza Valledupar

Last 5: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 defeats

  1. lost0–1at Once Caldas
  2. won1–0v Internacional de Bogota
  3. won1–0at Deportivo Pasto
  4. drew2–2v Águilas Doradas
  5. lost1–3at Deportivo Cali

Past results

From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.

Trends

  • Independiente Medellin won 5 of the last 10 meetings.

Last meetings

Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.

10 meetings: Independiente Medellin 5, draws 3, Alianza Valledupar 2

Goals: Independiente Medellin 12, Alianza Valledupar 10

DateMatchScore
19 Apr 2026Alianza Valledupar v Independiente Medellin0–1
13 Jul 2025Independiente Medellin v Alianza Valledupar1–1
27 Jan 2025Alianza Valledupar v Independiente Medellin1–1
11 Oct 2024Independiente Medellin v Alianza Valledupar2–0
24 Feb 2024Alianza Valledupar v Independiente Medellin2–0
21 Aug 2023Independiente Medellin v Alianza Valledupar2–1
27 Feb 2023Alianza Valledupar v Independiente Medellin0–1
1 Oct 2022Independiente Medellin v Alianza Valledupar3–1
11 Apr 2022Alianza Valledupar v Independiente Medellin1–1
27 Oct 2021Alianza Valledupar v Independiente Medellin3–0

Home and away

Independiente Medellin

Independiente Medellin at home

Last 5: 2 won, 1 drawn, 2 lost

  • LostOnce Caldas18 Oct 20260–2
  • LostSanta Fe6 Oct 20260–1
  • DrawnMillonarios30 Sep 20262–2
  • WonJaguares23 Sep 20262–1
  • WonLlaneros30 Aug 20262–1

Independiente Medellin: home league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
12 scored, 12 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
5 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
5 of 10
Clean sheets
2 of 10
Alianza Valledupar

Alianza Valledupar away

Last 5: 3 won, 0 drawn, 2 lost

  • LostOnce Caldas28 Oct 20260–1
  • WonDeportivo Pasto20 Oct 20261–0
  • LostDeportivo Cali3 Oct 20261–3
  • WonJaguares27 Sep 20262–1
  • WonChico16 Sep 20262–1

Alianza Valledupar: away league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
10 scored, 14 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
5 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
6 of 10
Clean sheets
2 of 10

Rest and schedule

Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.

Independiente Medellin
Last match
3 days before29 Oct 2026 · v Internacional de Bogota · Primera A
Next match
6 days after7 Nov 2026 · v Fortaleza FC · Primera A
Alianza Valledupar
Last match
4 days before28 Oct 2026 · v Once Caldas · Primera A
Next match
8 days after9 Nov 2026 · v Llaneros · Primera A

Injuries and suspensions

Team news was not available for this match.

Published 1 Nov 2026, 22:07 GMT · not changed since

All fixtures