Primera ASun 18 Oct 2026 · 02:10 BSTClausura · Matchday 15 · Estadio Atanasio Girardot, Medellin

Independiente Medellin v Once Caldas match analysis

This analysis was locked at kick-off on Sun 18 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.

Pre-match analysis · as published

Written before kick-off

Independiente Medellin hold a 51% chance of victory in this Colombian league encounter. The model expects 2.55 goals and favours Medellin's attacking threat with a 0.59 expected goals gap in their favour.

How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off

  • 51%Independiente Medellin win
  • 27%Draw
  • 22%Once Caldas win

PRO analysis

The full analysis is part of PRO

PRO members can read the full analysis exactly as it was published: the evidence and the risks behind our estimate.

See PRO plans

Free on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.

Form · newest first

Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin

Last 5: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 defeats

Once CaldasOnce Caldas

Last 5: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 defeats

Past results

From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.

Trends

  • Independiente Medellin won 4 of the last 10 meetings.
  • Both teams scored in 7 of Once Caldas's last 10 away league games.

Last meetings

Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.

10 meetings: Independiente Medellin 4, draws 4, Once Caldas 2

Goals: Independiente Medellin 20, Once Caldas 12

DateMatchScore
3 Apr 2026Once Caldas v Independiente Medellin1–1
13 Oct 2025Once Caldas v Independiente Medellin1–5
20 Apr 2025Independiente Medellin v Once Caldas2–0
28 Sep 2024Once Caldas v Independiente Medellin0–2
17 Mar 2024Independiente Medellin v Once Caldas1–2
1 Oct 2023Once Caldas v Independiente Medellin2–2
12 May 2023Independiente Medellin v Once Caldas2–2
24 Jul 2022Independiente Medellin v Once Caldas1–1
5 Feb 2022Once Caldas v Independiente Medellin2–1
18 Sep 2021Independiente Medellin v Once Caldas3–1

Home and away

Independiente Medellin

Independiente Medellin at home

Last 5: 2 won, 1 drawn, 2 lost

  • LostSanta Fe6 Oct 20260–1
  • DrawnMillonarios30 Sep 20262–2
  • WonJaguares23 Sep 20262–1
  • WonLlaneros30 Aug 20262–1
  • LostCucuta23 Aug 20260–1

Independiente Medellin: home league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
14 scored, 10 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
5 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
5 of 10
Clean sheets
3 of 10
Once Caldas

Once Caldas away

Last 5: 1 won, 2 drawn, 2 lost

  • DrawnInternacional de Bogota4 Oct 20261–1
  • LostDeportivo Pasto20 Sep 20260–1
  • LostChico5 Sep 20260–2
  • WonFortaleza FC2 Sep 20262–1
  • DrawnJunior24 Aug 20261–1

Once Caldas: away league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
11 scored, 13 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
7 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
4 of 10
Clean sheets
1 of 10

Rest and schedule

Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.

Independiente Medellin
Last match
3 days before15 Oct 2026 · v Atletico Nacional · Copa Colombia
Next match
7 days after25 Oct 2026 · v Atletico Nacional · Primera A
Once Caldas
Last match
8 days before10 Oct 2026 · v Llaneros · Primera A
Next match
3 days after21 Oct 2026 · v Millonarios · Primera A

Injuries and suspensions

Team news was not available for this match.

Published 18 Oct 2026, 01:07 BST · not changed since

All fixtures