Independiente Medellin v Once Caldas match analysis
This analysis was locked at kick-off on Sun 18 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.
Pre-match analysis · as published
Written before kick-off
Independiente Medellin hold a 51% chance of victory in this Colombian league encounter. The model expects 2.55 goals and favours Medellin's attacking threat with a 0.59 expected goals gap in their favour.
How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off
- 51%Independiente Medellin win
- 27%Draw
- 22%Once Caldas win
PRO analysis
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Form · newest first
Last 5: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 defeats
Last 5: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 defeats
Past results
From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.
Trends
- Independiente Medellin won 4 of the last 10 meetings.
- Both teams scored in 7 of Once Caldas's last 10 away league games.
Last meetings
Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.
10 meetings: Independiente Medellin 4, draws 4, Once Caldas 2
Goals: Independiente Medellin 20, Once Caldas 12
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 3 Apr 2026 | Once Caldas v Independiente Medellin | 1–1 |
| 13 Oct 2025 | Once Caldas v Independiente Medellin | 1–5 |
| 20 Apr 2025 | Independiente Medellin v Once Caldas | 2–0 |
| 28 Sep 2024 | Once Caldas v Independiente Medellin | 0–2 |
| 17 Mar 2024 | Independiente Medellin v Once Caldas | 1–2 |
| 1 Oct 2023 | Once Caldas v Independiente Medellin | 2–2 |
| 12 May 2023 | Independiente Medellin v Once Caldas | 2–2 |
| 24 Jul 2022 | Independiente Medellin v Once Caldas | 1–1 |
| 5 Feb 2022 | Once Caldas v Independiente Medellin | 2–1 |
| 18 Sep 2021 | Independiente Medellin v Once Caldas | 3–1 |
Home and away
Independiente Medellin at home
Last 5: 2 won, 1 drawn, 2 lost
- LostSanta Fe6 Oct 20260–1
- DrawnMillonarios30 Sep 20262–2
- WonJaguares23 Sep 20262–1
- WonLlaneros30 Aug 20262–1
- LostCucuta23 Aug 20260–1
Independiente Medellin: home league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 14 scored, 10 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 5 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 5 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 10
Once Caldas away
Last 5: 1 won, 2 drawn, 2 lost
- DrawnInternacional de Bogota4 Oct 20261–1
- LostDeportivo Pasto20 Sep 20260–1
- LostChico5 Sep 20260–2
- WonFortaleza FC2 Sep 20262–1
- DrawnJunior24 Aug 20261–1
Once Caldas: away league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 11 scored, 13 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 7 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 4 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 10
Rest and schedule
Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.
- Last match
- 3 days before15 Oct 2026 · v Atletico Nacional · Copa Colombia
- Next match
- 7 days after25 Oct 2026 · v Atletico Nacional · Primera A
- Last match
- 8 days before10 Oct 2026 · v Llaneros · Primera A
- Next match
- 3 days after21 Oct 2026 · v Millonarios · Primera A
Injuries and suspensions
Team news was not available for this match.
Published 18 Oct 2026, 01:07 BST · not changed since
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