Internacional de Bogota v Fortaleza FC match analysis
This analysis was locked at kick-off on Wed 21 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.
Pre-match analysis · as published
Written before kick-off
Internacional de Bogota hold a 43% chance of victory according to the model, ahead of Fortaleza's 28%, with a 29% probability of a draw. The expected goal total is 2.43, reflecting relatively tight margins between the teams.
How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off
- 43%Internacional de Bogota win
- 29%Draw
- 28%Fortaleza FC win
PRO analysis
The full analysis is part of PRO
PRO members can read the full analysis exactly as it was published: the evidence and the risks behind our estimate.
See PRO plansFree on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.
Form · newest first
Last 5: no wins, 3 draws, 2 defeats
Last 5: no wins, 4 draws, 1 defeat
Past results
From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.
Trends
- Internacional de Bogota won 9 of 20 matches in which they scored first, since 4 Mar 2025.
- Fortaleza FC won 18 of 32 matches in which they scored first, since 23 Feb 2025.
- Fortaleza FC won 4 of the last 7 meetings.
- Fortaleza FC without a win in their last 5 away games.
Last meetings
Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.
7 meetings: Internacional de Bogota 0, draws 3, Fortaleza FC 4
Goals: Internacional de Bogota 3, Fortaleza FC 10
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 4 Apr 2026 | Fortaleza FC v Internacional de Bogota | 1–1 |
| 29 Oct 2025 | Internacional de Bogota v Fortaleza FC | 0–1 |
| 8 Sep 2025 | Fortaleza FC v Internacional de Bogota | 1–0 |
| 10 May 2025 | Fortaleza FC v Internacional de Bogota | 4–0 |
| 22 Mar 2025 | Internacional de Bogota v Fortaleza FC | 1–1 |
| 6 Nov 2024 | Fortaleza FC v Internacional de Bogota | 2–1 |
| 18 Apr 2024 | Internacional de Bogota v Fortaleza FC | 0–0 |
Home and away
Internacional de Bogota at home
Last 5: 1 won, 3 drawn, 1 lost
- DrawnOnce Caldas4 Oct 20261–1
- LostAtletico Nacional17 Sep 20262–3
- WonLlaneros12 Sep 20263–2
- DrawnÁguilas Doradas6 Sep 20262–2
- DrawnDeportivo Pasto28 Aug 20261–1
Internacional de Bogota: home league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 17 scored, 14 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 7 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 6 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 10
Fortaleza FC away
Last 5: 0 won, 4 drawn, 1 lost
- DrawnDeportivo Pasto4 Oct 20260–0
- DrawnJaguares12 Sep 20262–2
- DrawnSanta Fe6 Sep 20262–2
- DrawnChico26 Aug 20260–0
- LostLlaneros4 Aug 20261–3
Fortaleza FC: away league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 9 scored, 15 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 6 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 5 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 10
Rest and schedule
Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.
- Last match
- 5 days before16 Oct 2026 · v Llaneros · Copa Colombia
- Next match
- 5 days after25 Oct 2026 · v Alianza Valledupar · Primera A
- Last match
- 9 days before11 Oct 2026 · v Santa Fe · Copa Colombia
- Next match
- 5 days after25 Oct 2026 · v Deportivo Cali · Primera A
When the score changes
Each team's results from a given score, in its covered competitions. Every figure shows how many matches it covers.
Internacional de Bogota
Since 4 Mar 2025
| Score | Internacional de Bogota | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| Scored first | 9 won, 4 drawn, 7 lost in 20 matches | 442 won, 146 drawn, 78 lost in 666 matches |
| Conceded first | 5 won, 9 drawn, 26 lost in 40 matches | 78 won, 146 drawn, 442 lost in 666 matches |
| Level at half-time | 8 won, 19 drawn, 11 lost in 38 matches | 194 won, 286 drawn, 194 lost in 674 matches |
| Level after 60 minutes | 4 won, 19 drawn, 7 lost in 30 matches | 130 won, 296 drawn, 130 lost in 556 matches |
| Level after 70 minutes | 4 won, 18 drawn, 2 lost in 24 matches | 106 won, 306 drawn, 106 lost in 518 matches |
| Level after 80 minutes | 2 won, 18 drawn, 0 lost in 20 matches | 73 won, 328 drawn, 73 lost in 474 matches |
| Level after 15 minutes | 10 won, 18 drawn, 20 lost in 48 matches | 362 won, 356 drawn, 362 lost in 1080 matches |
| Level after 30 minutes | 8 won, 21 drawn, 14 lost in 43 matches | 279 won, 322 drawn, 279 lost in 880 matches |
Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.
| Score | Internacional de Bogota | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| All matches | 13 scored, 19 conceded (69) | 402 scored, 402 conceded (1476) |
| When level after 75 minutes | 5 scored, 2 conceded (23) | 128 scored, 128 conceded (496) |
| When trailing after 75 minutes | 6 scored, 13 conceded (34) | 140 scored, 134 conceded (490) |
After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 52 times, equalised within 15 minutes 14, by full time 22(league sides: 741 times, within 15 minutes 123, by full time 326)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.
Fortaleza FC
Since 23 Feb 2025
| Score | Fortaleza FC | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| Scored first | 18 won, 8 drawn, 6 lost in 32 matches | 442 won, 146 drawn, 78 lost in 666 matches |
| Conceded first | 1 won, 11 drawn, 22 lost in 34 matches | 78 won, 146 drawn, 442 lost in 666 matches |
| Level at half-time | 11 won, 12 drawn, 9 lost in 32 matches | 194 won, 286 drawn, 194 lost in 674 matches |
| 1 goal down at half-time | 0 won, 8 drawn, 14 lost in 22 matches | 26 won, 68 drawn, 213 lost in 307 matches |
| Level after 60 minutes | 11 won, 16 drawn, 8 lost in 35 matches | 130 won, 296 drawn, 130 lost in 556 matches |
| Level after 70 minutes | 10 won, 16 drawn, 8 lost in 34 matches | 106 won, 306 drawn, 106 lost in 518 matches |
| Level after 80 minutes | 7 won, 17 drawn, 7 lost in 31 matches | 73 won, 328 drawn, 73 lost in 474 matches |
| Level after 15 minutes | 17 won, 19 drawn, 21 lost in 57 matches | 362 won, 356 drawn, 362 lost in 1080 matches |
| Level after 30 minutes | 17 won, 14 drawn, 15 lost in 46 matches | 279 won, 322 drawn, 279 lost in 880 matches |
| 1 goal down after 30 minutes | 0 won, 9 drawn, 11 lost in 20 matches | 33 won, 54 drawn, 164 lost in 251 matches |
Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.
| Score | Fortaleza FC | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| All matches | 23 scored, 22 conceded (74) | 402 scored, 402 conceded (1476) |
| When level after 75 minutes | 10 scored, 8 conceded (29) | 128 scored, 128 conceded (496) |
| When trailing after 75 minutes | 10 scored, 5 conceded (28) | 140 scored, 134 conceded (490) |
After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 40 times, equalised within 15 minutes 5, by full time 19(league sides: 741 times, within 15 minutes 123, by full time 326)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.
League sides: every team in this league since 23 Feb 2025, both venues, each match counted once for each side. Shown for context, not as a comparison.
PRO depth
PRO depth: Internacional de Bogota and Fortaleza FC
- Corners won and concededPRO
- Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
- Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
- First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
Injuries and suspensions
Team news was not available for this match.
Published 20 Oct 2026, 23:12 BST · not changed since
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