Italy v France · analysis and preview
Add to JournalNo signal on this match
Most likely: France win
France hold a 42% chance of winning according to the model, compared to 30% for Italy, with a 28% draw probability. Expected goals total 2.57, with France creating a 0.27 advantage over their hosts. Italy have won three of their last five matches; France have won three of four but suffered a recent defeat.
How the match could end · our estimate
- 30%Italy win
- 28%Draw
- 42%France win
PRO analysis
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Form · newest first
Last 5: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 defeat
- won3–1v Türkiye
- drew1–1at France
- won4–1at Türkiye
- lost0–2v Belgium
- won1–0at Greece
Last 5: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 defeat
- won4–1v Belgium
- drew1–1v Italy
- won1–0at Belgium
- won1–0at Türkiye
- lost4–6v England
Head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2 Oct 2026 | France — Italy | 1–1 |
| 17 Nov 2024 | Italy — France | 1–3 |
Injuries and suspensions
Team news not available yet.
Updated 7 Nov 2026, 16:43 GMT
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