Kheybar Khorramabad v Esteghlal Khuzestan match analysis
This analysis was locked at kick-off on Sun 18 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.
Pre-match analysis · as published
Written before kick-off
The model gives Kheybar Khorramabad a 49% chance of victory, with a 31% probability of a draw and Esteghlal Khuzestan at 20%. Expected goals stand at 1.99 total, with Kheybar Khorramabad favoured in shot quality. Lineups remain unknown.
How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off
- 49%Kheybar Khorramabad win
- 31%Draw
- 20%Esteghlal Khuzestan win
PRO analysis
The full analysis is part of PRO
PRO members can read the full analysis exactly as it was published: the evidence and the risks behind our estimate.
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Form · newest first
Kheybar KhorramabadLast 5: 1 win, 3 draws, 1 defeat
Esteghlal KhuzestanLast 5: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 defeats
Past results
From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.
Trends
- Persian Gulf Pro League, since 27 Feb 2025: home sides leading by one goal after 70 minutes won 60 of 73.
- Esteghlal Khuzestan avoided defeat in 7 of 22 matches in which their opponent scored first, since 27 Feb 2025.
- Kheybar Khorramabad won 2 of the last 3 meetings.
- Esteghlal Khuzestan without a win in their last 5 away games.
Last meetings
Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.
3 meetings: Kheybar Khorramabad 2, draws 1, Esteghlal Khuzestan 0
Goals: Kheybar Khorramabad 2, Esteghlal Khuzestan 0
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 9 Dec 2025 | Esteghlal Khuzestan v Kheybar Khorramabad | 0–1 |
| 1 May 2025 | Esteghlal Khuzestan v Kheybar Khorramabad | 0–0 |
| 19 Dec 2024 | Kheybar Khorramabad v Esteghlal Khuzestan | 1–0 |
Home and away
Kheybar KhorramabadKheybar Khorramabad at home
Last 5: 1 won, 2 drawn, 2 lost
- DrawnPersepolis FC14 Oct 20260–0
- WonFoolad FC2 Sep 20262–0
- LostPaykan24 Aug 20262–3
- DrawnFajr Sepasi14 Aug 20261–1
- LostChadormalu SC27 Feb 20260–2
Kheybar Khorramabad: home league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 11 scored, 11 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 5 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 3 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 10
Esteghlal KhuzestanEsteghlal Khuzestan away
Last 5: 0 won, 1 drawn, 4 lost
- LostGol Gohar8 Oct 20260–3
- LostSepahan FC6 Sep 20260–1
- DrawnPaykan28 Aug 20260–0
- LostPersepolis FC19 Aug 20261–4
- LostSepahan FC23 Feb 20261–3
Esteghlal Khuzestan: away league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 4 scored, 15 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 3 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 4 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 10
Rest and schedule
Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.
Kheybar Khorramabad- Last match
- 4 days before14 Oct 2026 · v Persepolis FC · Persian Gulf Pro League
- Next match
- 5 days after23 Oct 2026 · v Gol Gohar · Persian Gulf Pro League
Esteghlal Khuzestan- Last match
- 10 days before8 Oct 2026 · v Gol Gohar · Persian Gulf Pro League
- Next match
- 7 days after25 Oct 2026 · v Shams Azar Qazvin · Persian Gulf Pro League
When the score changes
Each team's results from a given score, in its covered competitions. Every figure shows how many matches it covers.
Kheybar Khorramabad
Since 28 Feb 2025
| Score | Kheybar Khorramabad | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| Level at half-time | 4 won, 11 drawn, 6 lost in 21 matches | 86 won, 168 drawn, 86 lost in 340 matches |
| Level after 15 minutes | 9 won, 13 drawn, 11 lost in 33 matches | 159 won, 214 drawn, 159 lost in 532 matches |
| Level after 30 minutes | 7 won, 11 drawn, 10 lost in 28 matches | 130 won, 180 drawn, 130 lost in 440 matches |
Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.
| Score | Kheybar Khorramabad | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| All matches | 7 scored, 14 conceded (40) | 163 scored, 163 conceded (656) |
Esteghlal Khuzestan
Since 27 Feb 2025
| Score | Esteghlal Khuzestan | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| Conceded first | 1 won, 6 drawn, 15 lost in 22 matches | 18 won, 64 drawn, 191 lost in 273 matches |
| Level after 15 minutes | 8 won, 14 drawn, 8 lost in 30 matches | 159 won, 214 drawn, 159 lost in 532 matches |
| Level after 30 minutes | 8 won, 10 drawn, 4 lost in 22 matches | 130 won, 180 drawn, 130 lost in 440 matches |
Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.
| Score | Esteghlal Khuzestan | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| All matches | 4 scored, 10 conceded (40) | 163 scored, 163 conceded (656) |
After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 24 times, equalised within 15 minutes 3, by full time 7(league sides: 276 times, within 15 minutes 37, by full time 115)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.
League sides: every team in this league since 27 Feb 2025, both venues, each match counted once for each side. Shown for context, not as a comparison.
PRO depth
PRO depth: Kheybar Khorramabad and Esteghlal Khuzestan
- Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
- First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
Injuries and suspensions
Team news was not available for this match.
Published 18 Oct 2026, 13:18 BST · not changed since
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