Lech Poznan v Korona Kielce match analysis
This analysis was locked at kick-off on Sun 18 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.
Pre-match analysis · as published
Written before kick-off
Lech Poznan are heavily favoured to beat Korona Kielce at home, with a 62% chance of victory. The model expects Lech to create significantly more chances, projecting 2.02 goals for the hosts against 0.95 for Korona. Recent form is mixed for both sides, though Lech have won two of their last three.
How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off
- 62%Lech Poznan win
- 22%Draw
- 16%Korona Kielce win
PRO analysis
The full analysis is part of PRO
PRO members can read the full analysis exactly as it was published: the evidence and the risks behind our estimate.
See PRO plansFree on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.
Form · newest first
Last 5: 2 wins, no draws, 3 defeats
Last 5: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 defeats
Past results
From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.
Trends
- Lech Poznan won 6 of the last 8 meetings.
- Over 2.5 goals in 7 of Lech Poznan's last 10 home league games.
Last meetings
Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.
8 meetings: Lech Poznan 6, draws 1, Korona Kielce 1
Goals: Lech Poznan 16, Korona Kielce 8
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb 2026 | Korona Kielce v Lech Poznan | 1–2 |
| 16 Aug 2025 | Lech Poznan v Korona Kielce | 1–1 |
| 5 Apr 2025 | Lech Poznan v Korona Kielce | 2–0 |
| 29 Sep 2024 | Korona Kielce v Lech Poznan | 2–3 |
| 25 May 2024 | Lech Poznan v Korona Kielce | 1–2 |
| 2 Dec 2023 | Korona Kielce v Lech Poznan | 0–1 |
| 19 May 2023 | Korona Kielce v Lech Poznan | 0–3 |
| 6 Nov 2022 | Lech Poznan v Korona Kielce | 3–2 |
Home and away
Lech Poznan at home
Last 5: 4 won, 0 drawn, 1 lost
- LostBayer LeverkusenUEFA Europa League15 Oct 20260–4
- WonRadomiak Radom20 Sep 20265–1
- WonRaków Częstochowa6 Sep 20261–0
- WonJagiellonia3 Sep 20262–1
- WonFC ThunUEFA Europa League20 Aug 20267–0
Lech Poznan: home league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 25 scored, 9 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 6 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 7 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 10
Korona Kielce away
Last 5: 3 won, 0 drawn, 2 lost
- LostPogon Szczecin11 Oct 20260–2
- WonSlask Wroclaw12 Sep 20262–1
- WonWisla Plock28 Aug 20262–0
- WonWidzew Łódź15 Aug 20262–1
- LostJagiellonia25 Jul 20260–1
Korona Kielce: away league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 10 scored, 15 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 5 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 4 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 10
Rest and schedule
Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.
- Last match
- 3 days before15 Oct 2026 · v Bayer Leverkusen · UEFA Europa League
- Next match
- 4 days after22 Oct 2026 · v Sunderland · UEFA Europa League
- Last match
- 7 days before11 Oct 2026 · v Pogon Szczecin · Ekstraklasa
- Next match
- 6 days after24 Oct 2026 · v GKS Katowice · Ekstraklasa
Injuries and suspensions
Team news was not available for this match.
Published 18 Oct 2026, 15:27 BST · not changed since
All fixtures