Legia Warszawa v Lech Poznan match analysis
This analysis was locked at kick-off on Sun 25 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.
Pre-match analysis · as published
Written before kick-off
Legia Warszawa hosts Lech Poznan in a fixture the model sees as genuinely competitive, with neither side favoured. Both teams are projected for 1.44 expected goals, and the model gives Legia 37% to win, Lech 36%, and a draw 26%.
How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off
- 37%Legia Warszawa win
- 27%Draw
- 36%Lech Poznan win
PRO analysis
The full analysis is part of PRO
PRO members can read the full analysis exactly as it was published: the evidence and the risks behind our estimate.
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Form · newest first
Last 5: 3 wins, 2 draws, no defeats
Last 5: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 defeat
Past results
From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.
Trends
- Lech Poznan won 4 of the last 10 meetings.
- Legia Warszawa unbeaten in their last 5 home games.
- Under 2.5 goals in 7 of Legia Warszawa's last 10 home league games.
- Over 2.5 goals in 7 of Lech Poznan's last 10 away league games.
Last meetings
Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.
10 meetings: Legia Warszawa 1, draws 5, Lech Poznan 4
Goals: Legia Warszawa 7, Lech Poznan 15
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr 2026 | Lech Poznan v Legia Warszawa | 4–0 |
| 26 Oct 2025 | Legia Warszawa v Lech Poznan | 0–0 |
| 11 May 2025 | Legia Warszawa v Lech Poznan | 0–1 |
| 10 Nov 2024 | Lech Poznan v Legia Warszawa | 5–2 |
| 12 May 2024 | Lech Poznan v Legia Warszawa | 1–2 |
| 12 Nov 2023 | Legia Warszawa v Lech Poznan | 0–0 |
| 16 Apr 2023 | Legia Warszawa v Lech Poznan | 2–2 |
| 1 Oct 2022 | Lech Poznan v Legia Warszawa | 0–0 |
| 9 Apr 2022 | Lech Poznan v Legia Warszawa | 1–1 |
| 17 Oct 2021 | Legia Warszawa v Lech Poznan | 0–1 |
Home and away
Legia Warszawa at home
Last 5: 3 won, 2 drawn, 0 lost
- WonWisla Krakow11 Oct 20262–0
- DrawnWidzew Łódź13 Sep 20261–1
- DrawnSlask Wroclaw28 Aug 20261–1
- WonRadomiak Radom14 Aug 20265–0
- WonZaglebie Lubin2 Aug 20263–1
Legia Warszawa: home league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 20 scored, 5 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 5 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 3 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 5 of 10
Lech Poznan away
Last 5: 2 won, 1 drawn, 2 lost
- WonSlask Wroclaw10 Oct 20264–1
- LostCrystal PalaceUEFA Europa League17 Sep 20260–4
- LostGornik Zabrze12 Sep 20261–2
- WonWidzew Łódź30 Aug 20263–2
- DrawnFC ThunUEFA Europa League27 Aug 20262–2
Lech Poznan: away league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 18 scored, 10 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 7 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 7 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 10
Rest and schedule
Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.
- Last match
- 8 days before17 Oct 2026 · v Cracovia Krakow · Ekstraklasa
- Next match
- 5 days after30 Oct 2026 · v Gornik Zabrze · Ekstraklasa
- Last match
- 3 days before22 Oct 2026 · v Sunderland · UEFA Europa League
- Next match
- 3 days after28 Oct 2026 · v Siarka Tarnobrzeg · Cup
Injuries and suspensions
Team news was not available for this match.
Published 25 Oct 2026, 15:29 GMT · not changed since
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