Leicester v Doncaster match analysis

This analysis was locked at kick-off on Sat 17 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.

Pre-match analysis · as published

Written before kick-off

Leicester are the clear model favourite at home with a 56% win probability, though Doncaster have recent wins in their favour. The model expects 2.7 goals and Leicester to dominate expected shots, with a 0.78 gap in their favour.

How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off

56%Leicester win
25%Draw
19%Doncaster win

PRO analysis

The full analysis is part of PRO

PRO members can read the full analysis exactly as it was published: the evidence and the risks behind our estimate.

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Free on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.

Form · newest first

Leicester

Last 5: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 defeats

Doncaster

Last 5: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 defeats

Head-to-head

Head-to-head data was not available for this match.

Past results

From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.

Home and away

Leicester

Leicester at home

Last 5: 2 won, 0 drawn, 3 lost

LostPeterborough10 Oct 20261–3
LostOxford United5 Sep 20260–4
WonPlymouth1 Sep 20262–0
LostBurton Albion22 Aug 20261–2
WonNorthamptonLeague Cup8 Aug 20261–0

Leicester: home league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals: 12 scored, 18 conceded in 10
Both teams scored: 6 of 10
Over 2.5 goals: 6 of 10
Clean sheets: 2 of 10

Doncaster

Doncaster away

Last 5: 1 won, 2 drawn, 2 lost

WonPeterborough19 Sep 20262–0
LostAFC Wimbledon12 Sep 20260–1
DrawnStevenage29 Aug 20262–2
LostMansfield Town15 Aug 20261–2
DrawnStockport CountyLeague Cup8 Aug 20261–1 PEN

Doncaster: away league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals: 13 scored, 12 conceded in 10
Both teams scored: 5 of 10
Over 2.5 goals: 6 of 10
Clean sheets: 3 of 10

Rest and schedule

Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.

Leicester

Last match: 7 days before10 Oct 2026 · v Peterborough · League One
Next match: 3 days after20 Oct 2026 · v Bromley · League One

Doncaster

Last match: 7 days before10 Oct 2026 · v Burton Albion · League One
Next match: 3 days after20 Oct 2026 · v Stockport County · League One

PRO depth

PRO depth: Leicester and Doncaster

Corners won and concededPRO
Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
First-half goals, scored and concededPRO

PRO: these figures for both teams

Injuries and suspensions

Team news was not available for this match.

Published 17 Oct 2026, 13:57 BST · not changed since

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