Leon v Toluca match analysis
This analysis was locked at kick-off on Sun 25 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.
Pre-match analysis · as published
Written before kick-off
Toluca are favoured to win this match with a 50% model probability, while Leon have a 26% chance. The sides have shared six goals across their last two meetings, with Toluca's 4-1 April victory showing their potential threat on this ground.
How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off
- 26%Leon win
- 24%Draw
- 50%Toluca win
PRO analysis
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Form · newest first
LeonLast 5: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 defeat
TolucaLast 5: no wins, 3 draws, 2 defeats
Past results
From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.
Trends
- Toluca won 4 of the last 10 meetings.
Last meetings
Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.
10 meetings: Leon 1, draws 5, Toluca 4
Goals: Leon 14, Toluca 22
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr 2026 | Toluca v Leon | 4–1 |
| 5 Oct 2025 | Leon v Toluca | 2–4 |
| 9 Feb 2025 | Leon v Toluca | 3–3 |
| 2 Nov 2024 | Toluca v Leon | 2–2 |
| 3 Feb 2024 | Toluca v Leon | 4–1 |
| 22 Oct 2023 | Leon v Toluca | 1–0 |
| 29 Jan 2023 | Toluca v Leon | 0–0 |
| 27 Jul 2022 | Leon v Toluca | 0–1 |
| 2 May 2022 | Leon v Toluca | 4–4 |
| 31 Oct 2021 | Toluca v Leon | 0–0 |
Home and away
LeonLeon at home
Last 5: 4 won, 0 drawn, 1 lost
- LostClub America18 Oct 20263–5
- WonFC Juarez28 Sep 20262–1
- WonAtletico San Luis15 Sep 20262–0
- WonMonterrey22 Aug 20262–0
- WonCF Pachuca2 Aug 20261–0
Leon: home league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 19 scored, 16 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 5 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 6 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 10
TolucaToluca away
Last 5: 2 won, 2 drawn, 1 lost
- LostTigres UANL10 Oct 20262–3
- DrawnCruz Azul26 Sep 20263–3
- WonPuebla16 Sep 20261–0
- WonClub Queretaro22 Aug 20262–1
- DrawnAtlante FC16 Aug 20260–0
Toluca: away league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 14 scored, 16 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 5 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 5 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 10
Rest and schedule
Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.
Leon- Last match
- 3 days before21 Oct 2026 · v Tigres UANL · Liga MX
- Next match
- 9 days after2 Nov 2026 · v Cruz Azul · Liga MX
Toluca- Last match
- 2 days before22 Oct 2026 · v Club Tijuana · Liga MX
- Next match
- 8 days after1 Nov 2026 · v Club America · Liga MX
Injuries and suspensions
Team news was not available for this match.
Published 24 Oct 2026, 23:12 BST · not changed since
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