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League Cup
Liverpool
1–1Finished
Chelsea
Wed 28 Oct 2026 · 20:00 GMTRound of 16 · Anfield, Liverpool

Liverpool v Chelsea match analysis

This analysis was locked at kick-off on Wed 28 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.

Pre-match analysis · as published

Written before kick-off

Liverpool have won four of their last five matches, while Chelsea have taken one win, one draw and two losses in the same period. The model gives Liverpool a 49% chance of winning, with Chelsea at 28% and a draw at 23%. Expected goals are 1.97 for Liverpool and 1.51 for Chelsea, a gap of 0.46 in Liverpool's favour; expected total goals are 3.48.

How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off

  • 49%Liverpool win
  • 23%Draw
  • 28%Chelsea win

PRO analysis

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PRO members can read the full analysis exactly as it was published: the evidence and the risks behind our estimate.

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Free on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.

Form · newest first

LiverpoolLiverpool

Last 5: 4 wins, no draws, 1 defeat

ChelseaChelsea

Last 5: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 defeats

Past results

From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.

Trends

  • Liverpool won 3 of the last 10 meetings.
  • Over 2.5 goals in 8 of Chelsea's last 10 away league games.

Last meetings

Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.

10 meetings: Liverpool 3, draws 5, Chelsea 2

Goals: Liverpool 11, Chelsea 9

DateMatchScore
9 May 2026Liverpool v ChelseaPremier League1–1
4 Oct 2025Chelsea v LiverpoolPremier League2–1
4 May 2025Chelsea v LiverpoolPremier League3–1
20 Oct 2024Liverpool v ChelseaPremier League2–1
25 Feb 2024Chelsea v Liverpool0–1
31 Jan 2024Liverpool v ChelseaPremier League4–1
13 Aug 2023Chelsea v LiverpoolPremier League1–1
4 Apr 2023Chelsea v LiverpoolPremier League0–0
21 Jan 2023Liverpool v ChelseaPremier League0–0
14 May 2022Chelsea v LiverpoolFA Cup0–0 PEN

Home and away

Liverpool

Liverpool at home

Last 5: 3 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost

  • WonBrightonPremier League25 Oct 20262–0
  • WonVillarrealUEFA Champions League20 Oct 20264–3
  • LostManchester CityPremier League11 Oct 20260–3
  • WonTottenham15 Sep 20263–1
  • DrawnFulhamPremier League12 Sep 20260–0

Liverpool: home league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
17 scored, 11 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
6 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
4 of 10
Clean sheets
3 of 10
Chelsea

Chelsea away

Last 5: 2 won, 0 drawn, 3 lost

  • WonEvertonPremier League17 Oct 20262–0
  • LostBrentfordPremier League18 Sep 20260–3
  • LostArsenalPremier League6 Sep 20261–2
  • WonFulhamPremier League24 Aug 20263–2
  • LostSunderlandPremier League24 May 20261–2

Chelsea: away league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
13 scored, 19 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
6 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
8 of 10
Clean sheets
1 of 10

Rest and schedule

Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.

Liverpool
Last match
3 days before25 Oct 2026 · v Brighton · Premier League
Next match
4 days after1 Nov 2026 · v Arsenal · Premier League
Chelsea
Last match
4 days before24 Oct 2026 · v Tottenham · Premier League
Next match
3 days after31 Oct 2026 · v Manchester United · Premier League

PRO depth

PRO depth: Liverpool and Chelsea

  • Corners won and concededPRO
  • Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
  • Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
  • First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
PRO: these figures for both teams

Injuries and suspensions

Team news was not available for this match.

Published 28 Oct 2026, 18:57 GMT · not changed since

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