Lokomotiv v Rubin match analysis
This analysis was locked at kick-off on Fri 6 Nov 2026 and has not been changed since.
Pre-match analysis · as published
Written before kick-off
Lokomotiv hold a 50% chance of victory according to the model, with draws at 27% and Rubin at 23%. The match is projected to produce 2.58 expected goals with a 0.54 gap in Lokomotiv's favour. Lokomotiv show mixed recent form while Rubin have won only once in their last five outings, though Rubin won 3-0 when these teams last met at home in March.
How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off
- 50%Lokomotiv win
- 27%Draw
- 23%Rubin win
PRO analysis
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Form · newest first
Last 5: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 defeats
- lost0–4v Spartak Moscow
- lost0–2at FC Rostov
- drew3–3v FC Krasnodar
- won5–0at Fakel
- drew1–1v Krylia Sovetov
Last 5: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 defeats
- won1–0v Fakel
- lost0–2v Krylia Sovetov
- lost0–4at Spartak Moscow
- lost0–1v Dynamo
- drew1–1at Rodina Moskva
Past results
From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.
Trends
- Lokomotiv won 3 of the last 8 meetings.
- Lokomotiv without a win in their last 5 home games.
- Rubin without a win in their last 5 away games.
- Under 2.5 goals in 8 of Lokomotiv's last 10 home league games.
Last meetings
Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.
8 meetings: Lokomotiv 3, draws 3, Rubin 2
Goals: Lokomotiv 8, Rubin 9
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar 2026 | Rubin v Lokomotiv | 3–0 |
| 27 Sep 2025 | Lokomotiv v Rubin | 1–0 |
| 12 Apr 2025 | Rubin v Lokomotiv | 1–0 |
| 2 Nov 2024 | Lokomotiv v Rubin | 1–0 |
| 20 Apr 2024 | Rubin v Lokomotiv | 1–1 |
| 22 Jul 2023 | Lokomotiv v Rubin | 2–2 |
| 8 May 2022 | Lokomotiv v Rubin | 1–0 |
| 16 Oct 2021 | Rubin v Lokomotiv | 2–2 |
Home and away
Lokomotiv at home
Last 5: 0 won, 3 drawn, 2 lost
- LostSpartak Moscow1 Nov 20260–4
- DrawnFC Krasnodar17 Oct 20263–3
- DrawnKrylia Sovetov16 Sep 20261–1
- LostDynamo29 Aug 20260–1
- DrawnAkron8 Aug 20260–0
Lokomotiv: home league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 8 scored, 12 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 5 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 2 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 10
Rubin away
Last 5: 0 won, 4 drawn, 1 lost
- LostSpartak Moscow18 Oct 20260–4
- DrawnRodina Moskva16 Sep 20261–1
- DrawnCSKA Moscow12 Sep 20261–1
- DrawnBaltika24 Aug 20261–1
- DrawnFC Rostov15 Aug 20261–1
Rubin: away league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 10 scored, 11 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 6 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 3 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 10
Rest and schedule
Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.
- Last match
- 5 days before1 Nov 2026 · v Spartak Moscow · Premier League · Russia
- Next match
- Not known
- Last match
- 6 days before31 Oct 2026 · v Fakel · Premier League · Russia
- Next match
- Not known
Injuries and suspensions
Lokomotiv
- Doubtful
- C. Montes (Inactive)
Rubin
- Ruled out
- A. Jukic (Inactive)
- Doubtful
- K. Nizhegorodov (Inactive)
Published 6 Nov 2026, 15:32 GMT · not changed since
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