Luton v Doncaster match analysis
This analysis was locked at kick-off on Tue 27 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.
Pre-match analysis · as published
Written before kick-off
The model gives Luton a 56% chance of winning at home against Doncaster. Expected goals are 1.77 for Luton and 0.99 for Doncaster, a gap of 0.78 in Luton's favour. Both teams show mixed recent form; the teams drew 1-1 when they last met.
How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off
- 56%Luton win
- 25%Draw
- 19%Doncaster win
PRO analysis
The full analysis is part of PRO
PRO members can read the full analysis exactly as it was published: the evidence and the risks behind our estimate.
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Form · newest first
Last 5: 3 wins, no draws, 2 defeats
Last 5: 3 wins, no draws, 2 defeats
Past results
From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.
Trends
- Both teams scored in 8 of Luton's last 10 home league games.
Last meetings
Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.
2 meetings: Luton 1, draws 1, Doncaster 0
Goals: Luton 2, Doncaster 1
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar 2026 | Doncaster v Luton | 1–1 |
| 27 Sep 2025 | Luton v Doncaster | 1–0 |
Home and away
Luton at home
Last 5: 3 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost
- WonLeicester24 Oct 20262–1
- WonBarnsley20 Oct 20262–1
- LostBradford19 Sep 20260–1
- DrawnLeyton Orient5 Sep 20261–1
- WonStockport County2 Sep 20262–0
Luton: home league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 16 scored, 10 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 8 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 6 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 10
Doncaster away
Last 5: 1 won, 1 drawn, 3 lost
- LostLeicester17 Oct 20261–2
- WonPeterborough19 Sep 20262–0
- LostAFC Wimbledon12 Sep 20260–1
- DrawnStevenage29 Aug 20262–2
- LostMansfield Town15 Aug 20261–2
Doncaster: away league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 13 scored, 12 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 5 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 6 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 10
Rest and schedule
Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.
- Last match
- 3 days before24 Oct 2026 · v Leicester · League One
- Next match
- 4 days after31 Oct 2026 · v Peterborough · League One
- Last match
- 3 days before24 Oct 2026 · v Sheffield Wednesday · League One
- Next match
- 4 days after31 Oct 2026 · v Milton Keynes Dons · League One
PRO depth
PRO depth: Luton and Doncaster
- Corners won and concededPRO
- Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
- Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
- First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
Injuries and suspensions
Team news was not available for this match.
Published 27 Oct 2026, 18:43 GMT · not changed since
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