League OneTue 27 Oct 2026 · 19:45 GMTMatchday 9 · Kenilworth Road, Luton

Luton v Doncaster match analysis

This analysis was locked at kick-off on Tue 27 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.

Pre-match analysis · as published

Written before kick-off

The model gives Luton a 56% chance of winning at home against Doncaster. Expected goals are 1.77 for Luton and 0.99 for Doncaster, a gap of 0.78 in Luton's favour. Both teams show mixed recent form; the teams drew 1-1 when they last met.

How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off

  • 56%Luton win
  • 25%Draw
  • 19%Doncaster win

PRO analysis

The full analysis is part of PRO

PRO members can read the full analysis exactly as it was published: the evidence and the risks behind our estimate.

See PRO plans

Free on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.

Form · newest first

LutonLuton

Last 5: 3 wins, no draws, 2 defeats

DoncasterDoncaster

Last 5: 3 wins, no draws, 2 defeats

Past results

From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.

Trends

  • Both teams scored in 8 of Luton's last 10 home league games.

Last meetings

Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.

2 meetings: Luton 1, draws 1, Doncaster 0

Goals: Luton 2, Doncaster 1

DateMatchScore
10 Mar 2026Doncaster v Luton1–1
27 Sep 2025Luton v Doncaster1–0

Home and away

Luton

Luton at home

Last 5: 3 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost

  • WonLeicester24 Oct 20262–1
  • WonBarnsley20 Oct 20262–1
  • LostBradford19 Sep 20260–1
  • DrawnLeyton Orient5 Sep 20261–1
  • WonStockport County2 Sep 20262–0

Luton: home league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
16 scored, 10 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
8 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
6 of 10
Clean sheets
1 of 10
Doncaster

Doncaster away

Last 5: 1 won, 1 drawn, 3 lost

  • LostLeicester17 Oct 20261–2
  • WonPeterborough19 Sep 20262–0
  • LostAFC Wimbledon12 Sep 20260–1
  • DrawnStevenage29 Aug 20262–2
  • LostMansfield Town15 Aug 20261–2

Doncaster: away league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
13 scored, 12 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
5 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
6 of 10
Clean sheets
3 of 10

Rest and schedule

Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.

Luton
Last match
3 days before24 Oct 2026 · v Leicester · League One
Next match
4 days after31 Oct 2026 · v Peterborough · League One
Doncaster
Last match
3 days before24 Oct 2026 · v Sheffield Wednesday · League One
Next match
4 days after31 Oct 2026 · v Milton Keynes Dons · League One

PRO depth

PRO depth: Luton and Doncaster

  • Corners won and concededPRO
  • Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
  • Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
  • First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
PRO: these figures for both teams

Injuries and suspensions

Team news was not available for this match.

Published 27 Oct 2026, 18:43 GMT · not changed since

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