UEFA Nations League
Luxembourg
19:45
Estonia
Fri 13 Nov 2026 · GMTLeague C · Matchday 5

Luxembourg v Estonia · analysis and preview

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No signal on this match

Most likely: Estonia win

The model gives Estonia a slight advantage with a 36% chance of winning versus Luxembourg's 33%, with a 31% probability of a draw. Expected goals stand at 1.05 for Luxembourg and 1.14 for Estonia. Estonia won their last meeting 1-0 in October, while Luxembourg have won their last two matches; Estonia's form over five games shows a win and draw among three draws and a defeat.

How the match could end · our estimate

  • 33%Luxembourg win
  • 31%Draw
  • 36%Estonia win

PRO analysis

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Form · newest first

LuxembourgLuxembourg

Last 5: 2 wins, no draws, 3 defeats

  1. lost0–2v Bulgaria
  2. lost0–1at Estonia
  3. lost0–3v Iceland
  4. won2–1at Bulgaria
  5. won1–0at Albania
EstoniaEstonia

Last 5: 2 wins, 3 draws, no defeats

  1. drew0–0v Iceland
  2. won1–0v Luxembourg
  3. drew0–0at Bulgaria
  4. drew1–1at Iceland
  5. won4–2at Cyprus

Head-to-head

DateMatchScore
3 Oct 2026Estonia — Luxembourg1–0

Injuries and suspensions

Team news not available yet.

Updated 7 Nov 2026, 17:08 GMT

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