Luxembourg v Estonia · analysis and preview
Add to JournalNo signal on this match
Most likely: Estonia win
The model gives Estonia a slight advantage with a 36% chance of winning versus Luxembourg's 33%, with a 31% probability of a draw. Expected goals stand at 1.05 for Luxembourg and 1.14 for Estonia. Estonia won their last meeting 1-0 in October, while Luxembourg have won their last two matches; Estonia's form over five games shows a win and draw among three draws and a defeat.
How the match could end · our estimate
- 33%Luxembourg win
- 31%Draw
- 36%Estonia win
PRO analysis
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Form · newest first
Last 5: 2 wins, no draws, 3 defeats
- lost0–2v Bulgaria
- lost0–1at Estonia
- lost0–3v Iceland
- won2–1at Bulgaria
- won1–0at Albania
Last 5: 2 wins, 3 draws, no defeats
- drew0–0v Iceland
- won1–0v Luxembourg
- drew0–0at Bulgaria
- drew1–1at Iceland
- won4–2at Cyprus
Head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 3 Oct 2026 | Estonia — Luxembourg | 1–0 |
Injuries and suspensions
Team news not available yet.
Updated 7 Nov 2026, 17:08 GMT
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