Macarthur v Brisbane Roar · analysis and preview
Add to JournalNo signal on this match
Most likely: Macarthur win
Macarthur hold a 50% chance of victory according to our model, with Brisbane at 25% for a win and a 25% draw probability. The hosts' form is more encouraging with three wins in their last five matches, whereas Brisbane have managed just one win in the same span. The model projects 2.92 expected goals overall, with Macarthur expected to create a 0.54 advantage.
How the match could end · our estimate
- 50%Macarthur win
- 25%Draw
- 25%Brisbane Roar win
PRO analysis
This analysis is part of PRO
PRO shows the full analysis of every match: our estimate next to the bookmaker’s price for each market, the written preview and the risks, and a signal whenever a match qualifies.
See PRO plansFree on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.
Form · newest first
Last 5: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 defeat
- drew0–0v Western Sydney Wanderers
- drew1–1at Newcastle Jets
- won2–1v Perth Glory
- won4–0v Wellington Phoenix
- lost1–3at Adelaide United
Last 5: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 defeats
- drew1–1v Auckland
- won2–1v Perth Glory
- won3–0at Sydney Olympic
- lost1–2at Perth Glory
- lost2–3v Melbourne City
Past results
From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.
Trends
- Macarthur won 6 of the last 10 meetings.
- Brisbane Roar without a win in their last 5 away games.
- Over 2.5 goals in 8 of Macarthur's last 10 home league games.
- Both teams scored in 7 of Brisbane Roar's last 10 away league games.
Last meetings
Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.
10 meetings: Macarthur 6, draws 3, Brisbane Roar 1
Goals: Macarthur 22, Brisbane Roar 13
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec 2025 | Macarthur v Brisbane Roar | 2–1 |
| 17 Oct 2025 | Brisbane Roar v Macarthur | 1–0 |
| 4 Apr 2025 | Brisbane Roar v Macarthur | 1–5 |
| 30 Nov 2024 | Macarthur v Brisbane Roar | 4–4 |
| 16 Mar 2024 | Brisbane Roar v Macarthur | 1–2 |
| 18 Jan 2024 | Brisbane Roar v Macarthur | 1–3 |
| 21 Oct 2023 | Macarthur v Brisbane Roar | 1–1 |
| 5 Mar 2023 | Macarthur v Brisbane Roar | 3–2 |
| 8 Oct 2022 | Brisbane Roar v Macarthur | 0–0 |
| 15 Apr 2022 | Macarthur v Brisbane Roar | 2–1 |
Home and away
Macarthur at home
Last 5: 3 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost
- DrawnWestern Sydney Wanderers31 Oct 20260–0
- WonPerth Glory17 Oct 20262–1
- WonWellington Phoenix24 Apr 20264–0
- WonNewcastle Jets2 Apr 20263–2
- LostCentral Coast Mariners4 Mar 20261–3
Macarthur: home league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 19 scored, 18 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 6 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 8 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 10
Brisbane Roar away
Last 5: 0 won, 2 drawn, 3 lost
- LostPerth Glory25 Apr 20261–2
- DrawnCentral Coast Mariners10 Apr 20262–2
- LostSydney21 Feb 20260–1
- DrawnMelbourne Victory14 Feb 20261–1
- LostNewcastle Jets31 Jan 20261–4
Brisbane Roar: away league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 10 scored, 15 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 7 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 6 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 10
Rest and schedule
Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.
- Last match
- 8 days before31 Oct 2026 · v Western Sydney Wanderers · A-League
- Next match
- Not known
- Last match
- 9 days before30 Oct 2026 · v Auckland · A-League
- Next match
- 13 days after21 Nov 2026 · v Sydney · A-League
Injuries and suspensions
Team news not available yet.
Updated 7 Nov 2026, 16:03 GMT
All fixtures