Machida Zelvia v Sanfrecce Hiroshima · analysis and preview
Add to JournalNo signal on this match
Most likely: Machida Zelvia win
The model gives Machida Zelvia a 41% chance of winning at home, with draws at 30% and Sanfrecce Hiroshima at 29%. Expected goals total 2.34, with a gap of 0.2 in Machida's favour. Machida have won three of their last five, while Hiroshima show four wins in five but lost both recent head-to-head meetings at this venue (2-1 in October 2025, 2-1 in February 2025).
How the match could end · our estimate
- 41%Machida Zelvia win
- 30%Draw
- 29%Sanfrecce Hiroshima win
PRO analysis
This analysis is part of PRO
PRO shows the full analysis of every match: our estimate next to the bookmaker’s price for each market, the written preview and the risks, and a signal whenever a match qualifies.
See PRO plansFree on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.
Form · newest first
Last 5: 3 wins, 2 draws, no defeats
- won2–1v Shanghai Shenhua
- drew0–0v Gamba Osaka
- won1–0at Shanghai Shenhua
- drew0–0at Vissel Kobe
- won5–0at Shimizu S-pulse
Last 5: 4 wins, no draws, 1 defeat
- won3–0at Mito Hollyhock
- won4–0v Shimizu S-pulse
- lost0–4at V-varen Nagasaki
- won3–0v Kyoto Sanga
- won2–0at Tokyo Verdy
Past results
From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.
Provisional: a recent score not yet confirmed.
Trends
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima won 4 of the last 4 meetings.
- Under 2.5 goals in 7 of Machida Zelvia's last 10 home league games.
- Not both teams scored in 7 of Machida Zelvia's last 10 home league games.
- Not both teams scored in 8 of Sanfrecce Hiroshima's last 10 away league games.
Last meetings
Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.
4 meetings: Machida Zelvia 0, draws 0, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 4
Goals: Machida Zelvia 3, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 8
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 4 Oct 2025 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima v Machida Zelvia | 2–1 |
| 16 Feb 2025 | Machida Zelvia v Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 1–2 |
| 28 Sep 2024 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima v Machida Zelvia | 2–0 |
| 3 Apr 2024 | Machida Zelvia v Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 1–2 |
Home and away
Machida Zelvia at home
Last 5: 3 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost
- WonShanghai ShenhuaProvisionalAFC Champions League Two5 Nov 20262–1
- DrawnGamba Osaka1 Nov 20260–0
- WonAvispa Fukuoka18 Oct 20263–0
- LostKashiwa Reysol20 Sep 20262–4
- WonSvay RiengAFC Champions League Two17 Sep 20262–0
Machida Zelvia: home league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 12 scored, 6 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 3 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 3 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 7 of 10
Sanfrecce Hiroshima away
Last 5: 3 won, 0 drawn, 2 lost
- WonMito Hollyhock31 Oct 20263–0
- LostV-varen Nagasaki21 Oct 20260–4
- WonTokyo Verdy11 Oct 20262–0
- WonAvispa Fukuoka19 Sep 20261–0
- LostFagiano Okayama6 Sep 20262–3
Sanfrecce Hiroshima: away league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 18 scored, 8 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 2 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 5 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 7 of 10
Rest and schedule
Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.
- Last match
- 3 days before5 Nov 2026 · v Shanghai Shenhua · AFC Champions League Two
- Next match
- 3 days after11 Nov 2026 · v Vissel Kobe · J-League Cup
- Last match
- 8 days before31 Oct 2026 · v Mito Hollyhock · J1 League
- Next match
- Not known
Injuries and suspensions
Team news not available yet.
Updated 6 Nov 2026, 23:33 GMT
All fixtures