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League Cup
Manchester City
2–2Finished
Brighton
Wed 28 Oct 2026 · 19:30 GMTRound of 16 · Etihad Stadium, Manchester

Manchester City v Brighton match analysis

This analysis was locked at kick-off on Wed 28 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.

Pre-match analysis · as published

Written before kick-off

Manchester City host Brighton in a fixture where the model gives City a 53% chance of victory, with draws at 23% and an away win at 23%. City have won three of their last five matches, while Brighton arrive in excellent form with four wins in their last five. City's expected goals of 1.99 compare to Brighton's 1.31, a gap of 0.68 in City's favour.

How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off

  • 53%Manchester City win
  • 23%Draw
  • 24%Brighton win

PRO analysis

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Free on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.

Form · newest first

Manchester CityManchester City

Last 5: 3 wins, no draws, 2 defeats

BrightonBrighton

Last 5: 4 wins, no draws, 1 defeat

Past results

From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.

Trends

  • Manchester City won 5 of the last 10 meetings.
  • Over 2.5 goals in 9 of Manchester City's last 10 home league games.
  • Both teams scored in 7 of Manchester City's last 10 home league games.
  • Not both teams scored in 7 of Brighton's last 10 away league games.

Last meetings

Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.

10 meetings: Manchester City 5, draws 3, Brighton 2

Goals: Manchester City 22, Brighton 11

DateMatchScore
7 Jan 2026Manchester City v BrightonPremier League1–1
31 Aug 2025Brighton v Manchester CityPremier League2–1
15 Mar 2025Manchester City v BrightonPremier League2–2
9 Nov 2024Brighton v Manchester CityPremier League2–1
25 Apr 2024Brighton v Manchester CityPremier League0–4
21 Oct 2023Manchester City v BrightonPremier League2–1
24 May 2023Brighton v Manchester CityPremier League1–1
22 Oct 2022Manchester City v BrightonPremier League3–1
20 Apr 2022Manchester City v BrightonPremier League3–0
23 Oct 2021Brighton v Manchester CityPremier League1–4

Home and away

Manchester City

Manchester City at home

Last 5: 4 won, 0 drawn, 1 lost

  • WonAEK Athens FCUEFA Champions League20 Oct 20265–1
  • WonIpswichPremier League17 Oct 20263–2
  • LostParis Saint GermainUEFA Champions League14 Oct 20262–4
  • WonSunderlandPremier League20 Sep 20265–3
  • WonNorwich17 Sep 20265–0

Manchester City: home league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
24 scored, 12 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
7 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
9 of 10
Clean sheets
3 of 10
Brighton

Brighton away

Last 5: 3 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost

  • LostLiverpoolPremier League25 Oct 20260–2
  • DrawnFK JablonecUEFA Europa Conference League22 Oct 20260–0
  • WonSunderlandPremier League10 Oct 20262–0
  • WonManchester United16 Sep 20263–2
  • WonCoventryPremier League13 Sep 20265–0

Brighton: away league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
18 scored, 12 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
3 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
4 of 10
Clean sheets
5 of 10

Rest and schedule

Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.

Manchester City
Last match
4 days before24 Oct 2026 · v Aston Villa · Premier League
Next match
3 days after31 Oct 2026 · v Brighton · Premier League
Brighton
Last match
3 days before25 Oct 2026 · v Liverpool · Premier League
Next match
3 days after31 Oct 2026 · v Manchester City · Premier League

PRO depth

PRO depth: Manchester City and Brighton

  • Corners won and concededPRO
  • Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
  • Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
  • First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
PRO: these figures for both teams

Injuries and suspensions

Team news was not available for this match.

Published 28 Oct 2026, 18:28 GMT · not changed since

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