Mansfield Town v Notts County match analysis

This analysis was locked at kick-off on Sat 31 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.

Pre-match analysis · as published

Written before kick-off

Mansfield Town have won twice in their last five matches while Notts County have lost three straight, giving the hosts form advantage in this local derby. The model gives Mansfield a 50% chance of victory and a draw 27%. Expected goals stand at 2.63, with a gap of 0.53 in Mansfield's favour.

How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off

50%Mansfield Town win
27%Draw
23%Notts County win

PRO analysis

The full analysis is part of PRO

PRO members can read the full analysis exactly as it was published: the evidence and the risks behind our estimate.

See PRO plans

Free on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.

Form · newest first

Mansfield Town

Last 5: 3 wins, 2 draws, no defeats

won4–1at Blackpool
won3–0at AFC Wimbledon
drew1–1v Oxford United
won2–1v Bromley
drew2–2at Burton Albion

Notts County

Last 5: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 defeats

drew1–1v Stockport County
won2–0v Sheffield Wednesday
lost0–2at Wycombe
lost1–2v Oxford United
lost0–2at Reading

Head-to-head

Head-to-head data was not available for this match.

Past results

From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.

Trends

Mansfield Town unbeaten in their last 5 home games.
Notts County without a win in their last 5 away games.
Over 2.5 goals in 7 of Mansfield Town's last 10 home league games.
Under 2.5 goals in 4 of Notts County's last 5 away league games.

Home and away

Mansfield Town

Mansfield Town at home

Last 5: 3 won, 2 drawn, 0 lost

DrawnOxford United15 Oct 20261–1
WonBromley10 Oct 20262–1
DrawnHuddersfield12 Sep 20260–0
WonLuton30 Aug 20265–2
WonDoncaster15 Aug 20262–1

Mansfield Town: home league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals: 23 scored, 14 conceded in 10
Both teams scored: 8 of 10
Over 2.5 goals: 7 of 10
Clean sheets: 2 of 10

Notts County

Notts County away

Last 5: 0 won, 3 drawn, 2 lost

LostWycombe17 Oct 20260–2
LostReading19 Sep 20260–2
DrawnHuddersfield5 Sep 20261–1
DrawnDoncaster1 Sep 20261–1
DrawnLuton22 Aug 20262–2

Notts County: away league games

Last 5 league games, 90-minute score

Goals: 4 scored, 8 conceded in 5
Both teams scored: 3 of 5
Over 2.5 goals: 1 of 5
Clean sheets: 0 of 5

Rest and schedule

Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.

Mansfield Town

Last match: 7 days before24 Oct 2026 · v Blackpool · League One
Next match: 3 days after3 Nov 2026 · v Wigan · League One

Notts County

Last match: 7 days before24 Oct 2026 · v Stockport County · League One
Next match: 7 days after7 Nov 2026 · v Altrincham · FA Cup

Injuries and suspensions

Team news was not available for this match.

Published 31 Oct 2026, 13:58 GMT · not changed since

All fixtures