Mansfield Town v Notts County match analysis
This analysis was locked at kick-off on Sat 31 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.
Pre-match analysis · as published
Written before kick-off
Mansfield Town have won twice in their last five matches while Notts County have lost three straight, giving the hosts form advantage in this local derby. The model gives Mansfield a 50% chance of victory and a draw 27%. Expected goals stand at 2.63, with a gap of 0.53 in Mansfield's favour.
How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off
- 50%Mansfield Town win
- 27%Draw
- 23%Notts County win
PRO analysis
The full analysis is part of PRO
PRO members can read the full analysis exactly as it was published: the evidence and the risks behind our estimate.
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Form · newest first
Mansfield TownLast 5: 3 wins, 2 draws, no defeats
- won4–1at Blackpool
- won3–0at AFC Wimbledon
- drew1–1v Oxford United
- won2–1v Bromley
- drew2–2at Burton Albion
Notts CountyLast 5: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 defeats
- drew1–1v Stockport County
- won2–0v Sheffield Wednesday
- lost0–2at Wycombe
- lost1–2v Oxford United
- lost0–2at Reading
Head-to-head
Head-to-head data was not available for this match.
Past results
From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.
Trends
- Mansfield Town won 18 of 26 matches in which they scored first, since 20 Sept 2025.
- League One, since 20 Sept 2025: home sides leading by one goal after 70 minutes won 119 of 148.
- Mansfield Town unbeaten in their last 5 home games.
- Notts County without a win in their last 5 away games.
Home and away
Mansfield TownMansfield Town at home
Last 5: 3 won, 2 drawn, 0 lost
- DrawnOxford United15 Oct 20261–1
- WonBromley10 Oct 20262–1
- DrawnHuddersfield12 Sep 20260–0
- WonLuton30 Aug 20265–2
- WonDoncaster15 Aug 20262–1
Mansfield Town: home league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 23 scored, 14 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 8 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 7 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 10
Notts CountyNotts County away
Last 5: 0 won, 3 drawn, 2 lost
- LostWycombe17 Oct 20260–2
- LostReading19 Sep 20260–2
- DrawnHuddersfield5 Sep 20261–1
- DrawnDoncaster1 Sep 20261–1
- DrawnLuton22 Aug 20262–2
Notts County: away league games
Last 5 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 4 scored, 8 conceded in 5
- Both teams scored
- 3 of 5
- Over 2.5 goals
- 1 of 5
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 5
Rest and schedule
Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.
Mansfield Town- Last match
- 7 days before24 Oct 2026 · v Blackpool · League One
- Next match
- 3 days after3 Nov 2026 · v Wigan · League One
Notts County- Last match
- 7 days before24 Oct 2026 · v Stockport County · League One
- Next match
- 7 days after7 Nov 2026 · v Altrincham · FA Cup
When the score changes
Each team's results from a given score, in its covered competitions since 20 Sept 2025. Every figure shows how many matches it covers.
Mansfield Town
| Score | Mansfield Town | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| Scored first | 18 won, 6 drawn, 2 lost in 26 matches | 390 won, 121 drawn, 57 lost in 568 matches |
| Conceded first | 3 won, 4 drawn, 13 lost in 20 matches | 57 won, 121 drawn, 390 lost in 568 matches |
| Level at half-time | 6 won, 10 drawn, 5 lost in 21 matches | 168 won, 176 drawn, 168 lost in 512 matches |
| Level after 60 minutes | 6 won, 13 drawn, 5 lost in 24 matches | 119 won, 180 drawn, 119 lost in 418 matches |
| Level after 70 minutes | 4 won, 14 drawn, 3 lost in 21 matches | 87 won, 202 drawn, 87 lost in 376 matches |
| Level after 15 minutes | 13 won, 17 drawn, 13 lost in 43 matches | 317 won, 238 drawn, 317 lost in 872 matches |
| Level after 30 minutes | 8 won, 11 drawn, 10 lost in 29 matches | 236 won, 194 drawn, 236 lost in 666 matches |
Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.
| Score | Mansfield Town | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| All matches | 13 scored, 12 conceded (54) | 361 scored, 361 conceded (1218) |
| When level after 75 minutes | 4 scored, 2 conceded (20) | 96 scored, 96 conceded (352) |
After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 24 times, equalised within 15 minutes 3, by full time 11(league sides: 650 times, within 15 minutes 107, by full time 293)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.
League sides: every team in this league since 20 Sept 2025, both venues, each match counted once for each side. Shown for context, not as a comparison.
PRO depth
PRO depth: Mansfield Town and Notts County
- Corners won and concededPRO
- Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
- Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
- First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
Injuries and suspensions
Team news was not available for this match.
Published 31 Oct 2026, 13:58 GMT · not changed since
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