Metz v PAU match analysis
This analysis was locked at kick-off on Fri 30 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.
Pre-match analysis · as published
Written before kick-off
Metz hosts PAU in Ligue 2. The model gives Metz a 48% chance of winning, with a 26% probability each for a draw and an away win. Metz are expected to generate 1.67 goals to PAU's 1.2, a gap of 0.47. Metz have struggled with one win in five recent matches, whilst PAU are in strong form with four wins in their last five.
How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off
- 48%Metz win
- 26%Draw
- 26%PAU win
PRO analysis
The full analysis is part of PRO
PRO members can read the full analysis exactly as it was published: the evidence and the risks behind our estimate.
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Form · newest first
MetzLast 5: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 defeats
- drew1–1at Dunkerque
- won3–2v Sochaux
- lost2–4at Dijon
- drew2–2v Saint Etienne
- lost0–1at RED Star FC 93
PAULast 5: 4 wins, no draws, 1 defeat
- won2–1v Grenoble
- won2–1at Guingamp
- won3–2v Laval
- won2–0v Dunkerque
- lost0–1at Montpellier
Past results
From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.
Trends
- Metz unbeaten in their last 5 home games.
- Over 2.5 goals in 8 of Metz's last 10 home league games.
- Both teams scored in 8 of Metz's last 10 home league games.
Last meetings
Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.
4 meetings: Metz 1, draws 2, PAU 1
Goals: Metz 3, PAU 3
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr 2025 | PAU v Metz | 2–1 |
| 4 Jan 2025 | Metz v PAU | 0–0 |
| 8 Apr 2023 | PAU v Metz | 1–1 |
| 1 Oct 2022 | Metz v PAU | 1–0 |
Home and away
MetzMetz at home
Last 5: 3 won, 2 drawn, 0 lost
- WonSochaux17 Oct 20263–2
- DrawnSaint Etienne19 Sep 20262–2
- WonRodez5 Sep 20264–1
- DrawnLaval22 Aug 20261–1
- WonGuingamp8 Aug 20262–1
Metz: home league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 17 scored, 20 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 8 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 8 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 10
PAUPAU away
Last 5: 2 won, 1 drawn, 2 lost
- WonGuingamp16 Oct 20262–1
- LostMontpellier11 Sep 20260–1
- DrawnRodez28 Aug 20262–2
- WonDijon14 Aug 20261–0
- LostReims9 May 20263–5
PAU: away league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 14 scored, 22 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 5 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 6 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 10
Rest and schedule
Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.
Metz- Last match
- 7 days before23 Oct 2026 · v Dunkerque · Ligue 2
- Next match
- 7 days after6 Nov 2026 · v Montpellier · Ligue 2
PAU- Last match
- 7 days before23 Oct 2026 · v Grenoble · Ligue 2
- Next match
- 8 days after7 Nov 2026 · v Nantes · Ligue 2
PRO depth
PRO depth: Metz and PAU
- Corners won and concededPRO
- Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
- Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
- First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
Injuries and suspensions
Team news was not available for this match.
Published 30 Oct 2026, 17:58 GMT · not changed since
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