Millonarios v Jaguares match analysis

This analysis was locked at kick-off on Sun 18 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.

Pre-match analysis · as published

Written before kick-off

Millonarios are heavy favourites with a 69% chance of winning this Colombian league match. Jaguares carry a 1-0 away-win memory from their April 2026 meeting but have inconsistent recent form. The model expects a wide gap in expected goals, favouring the home side.

How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off

69%Millonarios win
20%Draw
11%Jaguares win

PRO analysis

The full analysis is part of PRO

PRO members can read the full analysis exactly as it was published: the evidence and the risks behind our estimate.

See PRO plans

Free on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.

Form · newest first

Millonarios

Last 5: 2 wins, 3 draws, no defeats

Jaguares

Last 5: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 defeats

Past results

From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.

Trends

Jaguares won 5 of the last 9 meetings.
Jaguares without a win in their last 5 away games.
Under 2.5 goals in 7 of Millonarios's last 10 home league games.
Not both teams scored in 7 of Millonarios's last 10 home league games.

Last meetings

Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.

9 meetings: Millonarios 3, draws 1, Jaguares 5

Goals: Millonarios 10, Jaguares 13

Date	Match	Score
3 Apr 2026	Jaguares v Millonarios	1–0
26 Sep 2024	Millonarios v Jaguares	0–0
11 Mar 2024	Jaguares v Millonarios	2–1
14 Aug 2023	Jaguares v Millonarios	2–0
19 Feb 2023	Millonarios v Jaguares	2–1
22 Aug 2022	Millonarios v Jaguares	2–0
20 Feb 2022	Jaguares v Millonarios	1–2
26 Sep 2021	Jaguares v Millonarios	4–3
2 Mar 2021	Millonarios v Jaguares	0–2

Home and away

Millonarios

Millonarios at home

Last 5: 2 won, 2 drawn, 1 lost

WonChico19 Sep 20263–0
DrawnDeportivo Cali11 Sep 20261–1
DrawnInternacional de Bogota31 Aug 20260–0
WonDeportivo Pasto5 Aug 20262–0
LostBucaramanga26 Jul 20260–1

Millonarios: home league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals: 16 scored, 5 conceded in 10
Both teams scored: 3 of 10
Over 2.5 goals: 3 of 10
Clean sheets: 6 of 10

Jaguares

Jaguares away

Last 5: 0 won, 1 drawn, 4 lost

LostÁguilas Doradas3 Oct 20260–2
LostIndependiente Medellin23 Sep 20261–2
DrawnJunior6 Sep 20263–3
LostInternacional de Bogota6 Aug 20260–1
LostDeportivo Cali25 Jul 20260–2

Jaguares: away league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals: 8 scored, 20 conceded in 10
Both teams scored: 5 of 10
Over 2.5 goals: 5 of 10
Clean sheets: 0 of 10

Rest and schedule

Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.

Millonarios

Last match: 8 days before9 Oct 2026 · v Fortaleza FC · Primera A
Next match: 4 days after21 Oct 2026 · v Once Caldas · Primera A

Jaguares

Last match: 6 days before11 Oct 2026 · v Deportes Tolima · Primera A
Next match: 5 days after22 Oct 2026 · v Santa Fe · Primera A

Injuries and suspensions

Team news was not available for this match.

Published 17 Oct 2026, 22:57 BST · not changed since

All fixtures