Milton Keynes Dons v Swindon Town match analysis

This analysis was locked at kick-off on Sat 7 Nov 2026 and has not been changed since.

Pre-match analysis · as published

Written before kick-off

Milton Keynes Dons are favoured at home in this EFL Trophy tie, with the model giving them a 57% chance of victory against a Swindon side that has won just twice in their last five matches. The hosts have stronger recent form with three wins in four games. Expected goals stand at 2.13 for Dons and 1.26 for Swindon, with a combined total of 3.39.

How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off

57%Milton Keynes Dons win
22%Draw
21%Swindon Town win

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Form · newest first

Milton Keynes Dons

Last 5: 4 wins, no draws, 1 defeat

won6–1v Doncaster
won4–1v Bromley
won1–0at Stevenage
lost0–2at Blackpool
won2–1v Luton

Swindon Town

Last 5: 2 wins, no draws, 3 defeats

lost2–3at Cardiff
won2–1v Leyton Orient
lost0–1v Chippenham Town
won4–0v Swindon Supermarine
lost2–3at Salford City

Head-to-head

Head-to-head data was not available for this match.

Past results

From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.

Trends

Swindon Town without a win in their last 5 away games.
Both teams scored in 8 of Milton Keynes Dons's last 10 home league games.

Home and away

Milton Keynes Dons

Milton Keynes Dons at home

Last 5: 3 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost

WonDoncasterLeague One31 Oct 20266–1
WonBromleyLeague One27 Oct 20264–1
WonLutonLeague One17 Oct 20262–1
LostReadingLeague One10 Oct 20261–5
DrawnPeterboroughLeague One12 Sep 20261–1

Milton Keynes Dons: home league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals: 21 scored, 17 conceded in 10
Both teams scored: 8 of 10
Over 2.5 goals: 6 of 10
Clean sheets: 1 of 10

Swindon Town

Swindon Town away

Last 5: 0 won, 2 drawn, 3 lost

LostCardiffLeague Cup8 Aug 20262–3
LostSalford City20 Jan 20262–3
DrawnRotherham1 Nov 20251–1 AET 2–1
LostCardiffLeague Cup12 Aug 20251–2
DrawnAccrington ST30 Nov 20242–2 PEN

Rest and schedule

Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.

Milton Keynes Dons

Last match: 7 days before31 Oct 2026 · v Doncaster · League One
Next match: 3 days after10 Nov 2026 · v Bromley · EFL Trophy

Swindon Town

Last match: 7 days before31 Oct 2026 · v Rotherham · League Two
Next match: 3 days after10 Nov 2026 · v Plymouth · EFL Trophy

Injuries and suspensions

Team news was not available for this match.

Published 7 Nov 2026, 13:58 GMT · not changed since

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