Mirassol v Sao Paulo match analysis

This analysis was locked at kick-off on Sat 24 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.

Pre-match analysis · as published

Written before kick-off

Mirassol are given a 45% chance of winning at home against Sao Paulo, with the draw at 29% and Sao Paulo at 25%. The model expects 2.32 goals in total, with Mirassol holding an advantage in expected goals of 0.38. Mirassol won 3-0 at home most recently, though Sao Paulo took a 1-0 victory away in April 2026.

How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off

45%Mirassol win
30%Draw
25%Sao Paulo win

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Form · newest first

Mirassol

Last 5: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 defeat

Sao Paulo

Last 5: 3 wins, no draws, 2 defeats

Past results

From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.

Trends

Mirassol won 2 of the last 3 meetings.
Sao Paulo without a win in their last 5 away games.
Both teams scored in 7 of Mirassol's last 10 home league games.

Last meetings

Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.

3 meetings: Mirassol 2, draws 0, Sao Paulo 1

Goals: Mirassol 5, Sao Paulo 1

Date	Match	Score
26 Apr 2026	Sao Paulo v Mirassol	1–0
19 Oct 2025	Mirassol v Sao Paulo	3–0
24 May 2025	Sao Paulo v Mirassol	0–2

Home and away

Mirassol

Mirassol at home

Last 5: 2 won, 2 drawn, 1 lost

WonInternacional17 Oct 20262–0
WonBotafogo19 Sep 20262–0
DrawnVitoria13 Sep 20262–2
DrawnPalmeiras30 Aug 20261–1
LostFlamengo16 Aug 20261–5

Mirassol: home league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals: 16 scored, 12 conceded in 10
Both teams scored: 7 of 10
Over 2.5 goals: 5 of 10
Clean sheets: 3 of 10

Sao Paulo

Sao Paulo away

Last 5: 0 won, 1 drawn, 4 lost

LostCruzeiro8 Oct 20260–2
LostPalmeiras12 Sep 20260–2
LostBoca JuniorsCONMEBOL Sudamericana9 Sep 20260–1
LostChapecoense-sc23 Aug 20260–1
DrawnBolívarCONMEBOL Sudamericana12 Aug 20261–1

Sao Paulo: away league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals: 6 scored, 18 conceded in 10
Both teams scored: 5 of 10
Over 2.5 goals: 4 of 10
Clean sheets: 0 of 10

Rest and schedule

Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.

Mirassol

Last match: 8 days before17 Oct 2026 · v Internacional · Serie A · Brazil
Next match: 6 days after30 Oct 2026 · v Corinthians · Serie A · Brazil

Sao Paulo

Last match: 6 days before18 Oct 2026 · v Vasco DA Gama · Serie A · Brazil
Next match: 5 days after29 Oct 2026 · v Bahia · Serie A · Brazil

Injuries and suspensions

Mirassol
Ruled out
Andre Luis (Yellow Cards) · Negueba (Knee Injury)
Doubtful
Jose Aldo (Muscle Injury)
Sao Paulo
Ruled out
N. Bosshardt (Inactive) · Buta (Knee Injury) · Cauly (Inactive) · D. Duarte (Knee Injury)
Doubtful
Ferreira (Injury)

Published 24 Oct 2026, 19:28 BST · not changed since

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