Serie B · ItalySun 11 Oct 2026 · 18:30 BSTMatchday 6

Modena v Hellas Verona match analysis

This analysis was locked at kick-off on Sun 11 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.

Pre-match analysis · as published

Written before kick-off

Modena are favoured to win with a 55% chance over Hellas Verona's 18%. The model expects 2.54 goals, with Modena projected to generate significantly more chances than their visitors.

How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off

  • 56%Modena win
  • 26%Draw
  • 18%Hellas Verona win

PRO analysis

The full analysis is part of PRO

PRO members can read the full analysis exactly as it was published: the evidence and the risks behind our estimate.

See PRO plans

Free on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.

Form · newest first

ModenaModena

Last 5: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 defeat

Hellas VeronaHellas Verona

Last 5: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 defeat

Head-to-head

Head-to-head data was not available for this match.

Past results

From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.

Trends

  • Hellas Verona avoided defeat in 8 of 46 matches in which their opponent scored first, since 21 Oct 2024.
  • Both teams scored in 7 of Hellas Verona's last 10 away league games.

Home and away

Modena

Modena at home

Last 5: 2 won, 0 drawn, 3 lost

  • WonEmpoli20 Sep 20262–1
  • LostAvellino6 Sep 20260–1
  • LostJuve Stabia12 May 20260–1
  • WonReggiana1 May 20262–1
  • LostFrosinone18 Apr 20261–2

Modena: home league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
13 scored, 9 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
5 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
6 of 10
Clean sheets
3 of 10
Hellas Verona

Hellas Verona away

Last 5: 1 won, 3 drawn, 1 lost

  • LostBenevento11 Sep 20261–3
  • WonCagliariCoppa Italia3 Sep 20262–1
  • DrawnPadova29 Aug 20261–1
  • DrawnInterSerie A17 May 20261–1
  • DrawnJuventusSerie A3 May 20261–1

Hellas Verona: away league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
8 scored, 19 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
7 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
6 of 10
Clean sheets
0 of 10

Rest and schedule

Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.

Modena
Last match
21 days before20 Sep 2026 · v Empoli · Serie B · Italy
Next match
6 days after17 Oct 2026 · v Carrarese · Serie B · Italy
Hellas Verona
Last match
21 days before20 Sep 2026 · v Vicenza Virtus · Serie B · Italy
Next match
5 days after16 Oct 2026 · v Catanzaro · Serie B · Italy

When the score changes

Each team's results from a given score, in its covered competitions since 21 Oct 2024. Every figure shows how many matches it covers.

Hellas Verona

ScoreHellas Verona
Conceded first2 won, 6 drawn, 38 lost in 46 matches
Level at half-time5 won, 14 drawn, 18 lost in 37 matches
Level after 60 minutes5 won, 12 drawn, 12 lost in 29 matches
1 goal down after 60 minutes0 won, 4 drawn, 18 lost in 22 matches
Level after 70 minutes5 won, 14 drawn, 11 lost in 30 matches
1 goal down after 70 minutes0 won, 3 drawn, 17 lost in 20 matches
Level after 80 minutes4 won, 16 drawn, 4 lost in 24 matches
1 goal down after 80 minutes0 won, 1 drawn, 23 lost in 24 matches
Level after 15 minutes6 won, 19 drawn, 25 lost in 50 matches
Level after 30 minutes6 won, 13 drawn, 20 lost in 39 matches

Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.

Goals after 75 minutes
ScoreHellas Verona
All matches7 scored, 25 conceded (69)
When level after 75 minutes4 scored, 6 conceded (25)
When trailing after 75 minutes3 scored, 14 conceded (36)

After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 50 times, equalised within 15 minutes 3, by full time 16Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.

PRO depth

PRO depth: Modena and Hellas Verona

  • Corners won and concededPRO
  • Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
  • Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
  • First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
PRO: these figures for both teams

Injuries and suspensions

Team news was not available for this match.

Published 11 Oct 2026, 18:13 BST · not changed since

All fixtures