Modena v Mantova match analysis
This analysis was locked at kick-off on Sat 31 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.
Pre-match analysis · as published
Written before kick-off
Modena are favoured with a 51% chance of winning against Mantova's 23%, with a 27% probability of a draw. Modena have won four of their last five matches, while Mantova have taken just one win from their last five. The model expects 2.64 goals in total, with a gap of 0.58 in Modena's favour.
How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off
- 51%Modena win
- 26%Draw
- 23%Mantova win
PRO analysis
The full analysis is part of PRO
PRO members can read the full analysis exactly as it was published: the evidence and the risks behind our estimate.
See PRO plansFree on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.
Form · newest first
Last 5: 4 wins, no draws, 1 defeat
- won2–1at Vicenza Virtus
- won3–0v Cesena
- lost1–2at Carrarese
- won3–2v Hellas Verona
- won2–1v Empoli
Last 5: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 defeats
- lost0–2v Cremonese
- won1–0at Virtus Entella
- lost0–2v Palermo
- won3–1at Catanzaro
- drew2–2v Pisa
Past results
From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.
Trends
- Modena won 3 of the last 4 meetings.
- Over 2.5 goals in 7 of Modena's last 10 home league games.
- Over 2.5 goals in 7 of Mantova's last 10 away league games.
Last meetings
Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.
4 meetings: Modena 3, draws 1, Mantova 0
Goals: Modena 8, Mantova 3
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar 2026 | Modena v Mantova | 2–1 |
| 20 Sep 2025 | Mantova v Modena | 1–3 |
| 1 Feb 2025 | Modena v Mantova | 3–1 |
| 30 Nov 2024 | Mantova v Modena | 0–0 |
Home and away
Modena at home
Last 5: 3 won, 0 drawn, 2 lost
- WonCesena24 Oct 20263–0
- WonHellas Verona11 Oct 20263–2
- WonEmpoli20 Sep 20262–1
- LostAvellino6 Sep 20260–1
- LostJuve Stabia12 May 20260–1
Modena: home league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 16 scored, 9 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 5 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 7 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 10
Mantova away
Last 5: 3 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost
- WonVirtus Entella24 Oct 20261–0
- WonCatanzaro11 Oct 20263–1
- DrawnCesena6 Sep 20261–1
- LostPalermoCoppa Italia3 Sep 20262–5
- WonCarrarese22 Aug 20262–1
Mantova: away league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 16 scored, 14 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 6 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 7 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 10
Rest and schedule
Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.
- Last match
- 4 days before27 Oct 2026 · v Vicenza Virtus · Serie B · Italy
- Next match
- 8 days after8 Nov 2026 · v Virtus Entella · Serie B · Italy
- Last match
- 4 days before27 Oct 2026 · v Cremonese · Serie B · Italy
- Next match
- 7 days after7 Nov 2026 · v Hellas Verona · Serie B · Italy
Injuries and suspensions
Team news was not available for this match.
Published 31 Oct 2026, 12:38 GMT · not changed since
All fixtures