UEFA Nations League
Montenegro
19:45
Latvia
Thu 12 Nov 2026 · GMTLeague C · Matchday 5

Montenegro v Latvia · analysis and preview

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No signal on this match

Most likely: Montenegro win

The model gives Montenegro a 53% chance of winning, with draws at 27% and Latvia's win probability at 20%. Montenegro's expected output (1.56 goals) outpaces Latvia's (0.88), a gap of 0.68 in the hosts' favour, though both teams arrive with patchy recent form and defensive vulnerability. Montenegro won the teams' last meeting 2-1 away in October.

How the match could end · our estimate

  • 53%Montenegro win
  • 27%Draw
  • 20%Latvia win

PRO analysis

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Form · newest first

MontenegroMontenegro

Last 5: 3 wins, 2 draws, no defeats

  1. drew0–0v Armenia
  2. won2–1at Latvia
  3. won3–2at Armenia
  4. won2–1v Cyprus
  5. drew2–2at Slovakia
LatviaLatvia

Last 5: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 defeats

  1. lost1–2at Cyprus
  2. lost1–2v Montenegro
  3. drew0–0v Cyprus
  4. lost0–2at Armenia
  5. won1–0v Gibraltar

Head-to-head

DateMatchScore
2 Oct 2026Latvia — Montenegro1–2

Injuries and suspensions

Team news not available yet.

Updated 7 Nov 2026, 07:23 GMT

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