Montenegro v Latvia · analysis and preview
Add to JournalNo signal on this match
Most likely: Montenegro win
The model gives Montenegro a 53% chance of winning, with draws at 27% and Latvia's win probability at 20%. Montenegro's expected output (1.56 goals) outpaces Latvia's (0.88), a gap of 0.68 in the hosts' favour, though both teams arrive with patchy recent form and defensive vulnerability. Montenegro won the teams' last meeting 2-1 away in October.
How the match could end · our estimate
- 53%Montenegro win
- 27%Draw
- 20%Latvia win
PRO analysis
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Form · newest first
Last 5: 3 wins, 2 draws, no defeats
- drew0–0v Armenia
- won2–1at Latvia
- won3–2at Armenia
- won2–1v Cyprus
- drew2–2at Slovakia
Last 5: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 defeats
- lost1–2at Cyprus
- lost1–2v Montenegro
- drew0–0v Cyprus
- lost0–2at Armenia
- won1–0v Gibraltar
Head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2 Oct 2026 | Latvia — Montenegro | 1–2 |
Injuries and suspensions
Team news not available yet.
Updated 7 Nov 2026, 07:23 GMT
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