Motherwell v Celtic match analysis
This analysis was locked at kick-off on Sun 11 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.
Pre-match analysis · as published
How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off
- 31%Motherwell win
- 25%Draw
- 44%Celtic win
PRO analysis
The full analysis is part of PRO
PRO members can read the full analysis exactly as it was published: the evidence and the risks behind our estimate.
See PRO plansFree on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.
Form · newest first
MotherwellLast 5: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 defeats
CelticLast 5: 3 wins, no draws, 2 defeats
Past results
From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.
Trends
- Motherwell won 25 of 38 matches in which they scored first, since 19 Oct 2024.
- Celtic won 50 of 59 matches in which they scored first, since 19 Oct 2024.
- Celtic won 8 of the last 10 meetings.
- Over 2.5 goals in 8 of Celtic's last 10 away league games.
Last meetings
Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.
10 meetings: Motherwell 1, draws 1, Celtic 8
Goals: Motherwell 11, Celtic 25
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 13 May 2026 | Motherwell v Celtic | 2–3 |
| 14 Mar 2026 | Celtic v Motherwell | 3–1 |
| 30 Dec 2025 | Motherwell v Celtic | 2–0 |
| 5 Oct 2025 | Celtic v Motherwell | 3–2 |
| 2 Feb 2025 | Motherwell v Celtic | 1–3 |
| 26 Dec 2024 | Celtic v Motherwell | 4–0 |
| 27 Oct 2024 | Motherwell v Celtic | 0–3 |
| 25 Feb 2024 | Motherwell v Celtic | 1–3 |
| 25 Nov 2023 | Celtic v Motherwell | 1–1 |
| 30 Sep 2023 | Motherwell v Celtic | 1–2 |
Home and away
MotherwellMotherwell at home
Last 5: 2 won, 1 drawn, 2 lost
- LostAberdeen15 Sep 20260–4
- WonDundee Utd2 Sep 20263–0
- LostSC FreiburgUEFA Europa Conference League20 Aug 20261–3
- WonHJK HelsinkiUEFA Europa Conference League13 Aug 20262–0
- DrawnFalkirk9 Aug 20260–0
Motherwell: home league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 13 scored, 12 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 4 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 4 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 5 of 10
CelticCeltic away
Last 5: 4 won, 0 drawn, 1 lost
- WonST Johnstone9 Sep 20261–0
- WonST Mirren5 Sep 20262–1
- LostLask LinzUEFA Champions League25 Aug 20261–4 AET 1–5
- WonKilmarnock9 Aug 20265–1
- WonMotherwell13 May 20263–2
Celtic: away league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 22 scored, 13 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 8 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 8 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 10
Rest and schedule
Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.
Motherwell- Last match
- 22 days before19 Sep 2026 · v Dundee · Premiership
- Next match
- 6 days after17 Oct 2026 · v Kilmarnock · Premiership
Celtic- Last match
- 21 days before20 Sep 2026 · v Rangers · Premiership
- Next match
- 4 days after15 Oct 2026 · v Benfica · UEFA Europa League
When the score changes
Each team's results from a given score, in its covered competitions since 19 Oct 2024. Every figure shows how many matches it covers.
Motherwell
| Score | Motherwell | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| Scored first | 25 won, 7 drawn, 6 lost in 38 matches | 479 won, 140 drawn, 85 lost in 704 matches |
| Conceded first | 3 won, 6 drawn, 21 lost in 30 matches | 85 won, 140 drawn, 479 lost in 704 matches |
| Level at half-time | 5 won, 12 drawn, 8 lost in 25 matches | 160 won, 206 drawn, 160 lost in 526 matches |
| 1 goal down at half-time | 2 won, 5 drawn, 15 lost in 22 matches | 47 won, 72 drawn, 232 lost in 351 matches |
| Level after 60 minutes | 8 won, 12 drawn, 4 lost in 24 matches | 137 won, 202 drawn, 137 lost in 476 matches |
| Level after 70 minutes | 9 won, 13 drawn, 4 lost in 26 matches | 118 won, 226 drawn, 118 lost in 462 matches |
| Level after 80 minutes | 8 won, 15 drawn, 3 lost in 26 matches | 85 won, 234 drawn, 85 lost in 404 matches |
| Level after 15 minutes | 22 won, 18 drawn, 21 lost in 61 matches | 394 won, 296 drawn, 394 lost in 1084 matches |
| Level after 30 minutes | 12 won, 11 drawn, 13 lost in 36 matches | 259 won, 244 drawn, 259 lost in 762 matches |
Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.
| Score | Motherwell | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| All matches | 25 scored, 23 conceded (76) | 508 scored, 508 conceded (1496) |
| When leading after 75 minutes | 5 scored, 6 conceded (23) | 203 scored, 162 conceded (538) |
| When level after 75 minutes | 11 scored, 4 conceded (26) | 143 scored, 143 conceded (420) |
| When trailing after 75 minutes | 9 scored, 13 conceded (27) | 162 scored, 203 conceded (538) |
After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 37 times, equalised within 15 minutes 3, by full time 16(league sides: 798 times, within 15 minutes 108, by full time 354)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.
Celtic
| Score | Celtic | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| Scored first | 50 won, 6 drawn, 3 lost in 59 matches | 479 won, 140 drawn, 85 lost in 704 matches |
| Conceded first | 11 won, 4 drawn, 18 lost in 33 matches | 85 won, 140 drawn, 479 lost in 704 matches |
| 2+ goals up at half-time | 18 won, 2 drawn, 0 lost in 20 matches | 122 won, 9 drawn, 3 lost in 134 matches |
| 1 goal up at half-time | 23 won, 1 drawn, 2 lost in 26 matches | 232 won, 72 drawn, 47 lost in 351 matches |
| Level at half-time | 17 won, 10 drawn, 5 lost in 32 matches | 160 won, 206 drawn, 160 lost in 526 matches |
| 2+ goals up after 60 minutes | 26 won, 0 drawn, 0 lost in 26 matches | 173 won, 12 drawn, 1 lost in 186 matches |
| 1 goal up after 60 minutes | 19 won, 2 drawn, 0 lost in 21 matches | 228 won, 71 drawn, 25 lost in 324 matches |
| Level after 60 minutes | 13 won, 12 drawn, 2 lost in 27 matches | 137 won, 202 drawn, 137 lost in 476 matches |
| 2+ goals up after 70 minutes | 28 won, 0 drawn, 0 lost in 28 matches | 212 won, 9 drawn, 2 lost in 223 matches |
| 1 goal up after 70 minutes | 21 won, 3 drawn, 0 lost in 24 matches | 218 won, 62 drawn, 14 lost in 294 matches |
| Level after 70 minutes | 12 won, 11 drawn, 1 lost in 24 matches | 118 won, 226 drawn, 118 lost in 462 matches |
| 2+ goals up after 80 minutes | 31 won, 0 drawn, 0 lost in 31 matches | 240 won, 5 drawn, 0 lost in 245 matches |
| 1 goal up after 80 minutes | 20 won, 2 drawn, 0 lost in 22 matches | 230 won, 62 drawn, 9 lost in 301 matches |
| Level after 80 minutes | 10 won, 11 drawn, 2 lost in 23 matches | 85 won, 234 drawn, 85 lost in 404 matches |
| Level after 15 minutes | 43 won, 12 drawn, 12 lost in 67 matches | 394 won, 296 drawn, 394 lost in 1084 matches |
| 1 goal up after 30 minutes | 23 won, 3 drawn, 3 lost in 29 matches | 202 won, 53 drawn, 43 lost in 298 matches |
| Level after 30 minutes | 24 won, 10 drawn, 6 lost in 40 matches | 259 won, 244 drawn, 259 lost in 762 matches |
Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.
| Score | Celtic | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| All matches | 43 scored, 14 conceded (98) | 508 scored, 508 conceded (1496) |
| When leading after 75 minutes | 22 scored, 6 conceded (52) | 203 scored, 162 conceded (538) |
| When level after 75 minutes | 16 scored, 3 conceded (25) | 143 scored, 143 conceded (420) |
| When trailing after 75 minutes | 5 scored, 5 conceded (21) | 162 scored, 203 conceded (538) |
After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 42 times, equalised within 15 minutes 10, by full time 23(league sides: 798 times, within 15 minutes 108, by full time 354)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.
League sides: every team in this league since 5 Aug 2023, both venues, each match counted once for each side. Shown for context, not as a comparison.
PRO depth
PRO depth: Motherwell and Celtic
- Corners won and concededPRO
- Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
- Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
- First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
Injuries and suspensions
Team news was not available for this match.
Published 11 Oct 2026, 10:57 BST · not changed since
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