MVV v Excelsior match analysis
This analysis was locked at kick-off on Wed 28 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.
Pre-match analysis · as published
Written before kick-off
Excelsior are heavy favourites, the model giving them a 71% chance of winning. MVV have lost three of their last five matches, while Excelsior have won their most recent game. Expected goals suggest a 2.82–1.18 advantage to Excelsior, with a gap of 1.64. They beat MVV 2-1 when the sides last met.
How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off
- 13%MVV win
- 16%Draw
- 71%Excelsior win
PRO analysis
The full analysis is part of PRO
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Form · newest first
MVVLast 5: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 defeats
ExcelsiorLast 5: no wins, 1 draw, 4 defeats
Past results
From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.
Trends
- Excelsior avoided defeat in 10 of 25 matches in which their opponent scored first, since 9 Aug 2025.
- Excelsior won 4 of the last 5 meetings.
- Over 2.5 goals in 8 of Excelsior's last 10 away league games.
Last meetings
Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.
5 meetings: MVV 0, draws 1, Excelsior 4
Goals: MVV 6, Excelsior 13
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 4 Apr 2025 | MVV v ExcelsiorEerste Divisie | 1–2 |
| 18 Oct 2024 | Excelsior v MVVEerste Divisie | 3–2 |
| 19 Oct 2022 | Excelsior v MVV | 5–1 |
| 15 Apr 2022 | MVV v ExcelsiorEerste Divisie | 1–1 |
| 10 Dec 2021 | Excelsior v MVVEerste Divisie | 2–1 |
Home and away
MVVMVV at home
Last 5: 2 won, 1 drawn, 2 lost
- LostHeraclesEerste Divisie18 Oct 20261–5
- WonHelmond SportEerste Divisie26 Sep 20262–0
- LostAlmere City FCEerste Divisie11 Sep 20260–4
- DrawnRodaEerste Divisie6 Sep 20261–1
- WonFC VolendamEerste Divisie21 Aug 20261–0
MVV: home league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 8 scored, 21 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 4 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 5 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 10
ExcelsiorExcelsior away
Last 5: 1 won, 2 drawn, 2 lost
- LostFortuna SittardEredivisie25 Oct 20260–1
- LostHeerenveenEredivisie16 Oct 20260–4
- DrawnAjaxEredivisie19 Sep 20262–2
- DrawnNEC NijmegenEredivisie8 Sep 20262–2
- WonWillem IIEredivisie5 Sep 20263–0
Excelsior: away league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 20 scored, 16 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 6 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 8 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 10
Rest and schedule
Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.
MVV- Last match
- 5 days before23 Oct 2026 · v Den Bosch · Eerste Divisie
- Next match
- 3 days after31 Oct 2026 · v VVV Venlo · Eerste Divisie
Excelsior- Last match
- 3 days before25 Oct 2026 · v Fortuna Sittard · Eredivisie
- Next match
- 4 days after1 Nov 2026 · v Twente · Eredivisie
When the score changes
Each team's results from a given score, in its covered competitions since 9 Aug 2025. Every figure shows how many matches it covers.
Excelsior
| Score | Excelsior |
|---|---|
| Conceded first | 1 won, 9 drawn, 15 lost in 25 matches |
| Level after 15 minutes | 7 won, 6 drawn, 12 lost in 25 matches |
Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.
| Score | Excelsior |
|---|---|
| All matches | 15 scored, 15 conceded (44) |
| When trailing after 75 minutes | 8 scored, 6 conceded (21) |
After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 30 times, equalised within 15 minutes 2, by full time 15Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.
PRO depth
PRO depth: MVV and Excelsior
- Corners won and concededPRO
- Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
- Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
- First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
Injuries and suspensions
Team news was not available for this match.
Published 28 Oct 2026, 17:57 GMT · not changed since
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