Eerste Divisie
MVV
1–5Finished
Sun 18 Oct 2026 · 15:45 BSTMatchday 11 · De Geusselt, Maastricht

MVV v Heracles match analysis

This analysis was locked at kick-off on Sun 18 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.

Pre-match analysis · as published

Written before kick-off

Heracles are given a 56% chance of winning by the model, compared to MVV's 22%, with draws at 22%. MVV have struggled with three losses in their last five games, while Heracles show more resilience with two recent wins.

How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off

  • 22%MVV win
  • 22%Draw
  • 56%Heracles win

PRO analysis

The full analysis is part of PRO

PRO members can read the full analysis exactly as it was published: the evidence and the risks behind our estimate.

See PRO plans

Free on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.

Form · newest first

MVVMVV

Last 5: 1 win, no draws, 4 defeats

HeraclesHeracles

Last 5: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 defeat

Past results

From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.

Trends

  • Over 2.5 goals in 8 of Heracles's last 10 away league games.

Last meetings

Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.

2 meetings: MVV 0, draws 1, Heracles 1

Goals: MVV 2, Heracles 4

DateMatchScore
13 Feb 2023MVV v Heracles0–2
29 Aug 2022Heracles v MVV2–2

Home and away

MVV

MVV at home

Last 5: 3 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost

  • WonHelmond Sport26 Sep 20262–0
  • LostAlmere City FC11 Sep 20260–4
  • DrawnRoda6 Sep 20261–1
  • WonFC Volendam21 Aug 20261–0
  • WonJong Utrecht9 Aug 20262–1

MVV: home league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
9 scored, 17 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
4 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
5 of 10
Clean sheets
3 of 10
Heracles

Heracles away

Last 5: 3 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost

  • DrawnHelmond Sport2 Oct 20262–2
  • LostAlmere City FC18 Sep 20260–1
  • WonFC Eindhoven30 Aug 20263–1
  • WonJong Utrecht24 Aug 20266–1
  • WonVVV Venlo7 Aug 20264–3

Heracles: away league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
16 scored, 24 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
5 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
8 of 10
Clean sheets
0 of 10

Rest and schedule

Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.

MVV
Last match
9 days before9 Oct 2026 · v NAC Breda · Eerste Divisie
Next match
5 days after23 Oct 2026 · v Den Bosch · Eerste Divisie
Heracles
Last match
9 days before9 Oct 2026 · v Waalwijk · Eerste Divisie
Next match
5 days after23 Oct 2026 · v NAC Breda · Eerste Divisie

PRO depth

PRO depth: MVV and Heracles

  • Corners won and concededPRO
  • Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
  • Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
  • First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
PRO: these figures for both teams

Injuries and suspensions

Team news was not available for this match.

Published 18 Oct 2026, 14:42 BST · not changed since

All fixtures