Kicked off — this analysis is locked.
Nacional
Academico ViseuNacional v Academico Viseu · analysis and preview
No signal on this match
Most likely: Academico Viseu win
Académico Viseu arrive at Nacional as the model's slight favourite for an away win. Nacional have won just one of their last five matches, while Académico Viseu have won four of theirs. Expected goals are 1.06 for the hosts and 1.39 for the visitors.
How the match could end · our estimate
- 28%Nacional win
- 29%Draw
- 43%Academico Viseu win
PRO analysis
This analysis is part of PRO
PRO shows the full analysis of every match: our estimate next to the bookmaker’s price for each market, the written preview and the risks, and a signal whenever a match qualifies.
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Form · newest first
NacionalLast 5: 1 win, no draws, 4 defeats
- lost0–1at Arouca
- won1–0v SC Braga
- lost0–1at Sanjoanense
- lost2–3at Rio Ave
- lost0–4v Famalicao
Academico ViseuLast 5: 4 wins, no draws, 1 defeat
- won2–1v Rio Ave
- won2–1at Sporting CP
- lost0–1at Fátima
- won2–1v Estoril
- won2–0at Estrela
Head-to-head
Head-to-head data isn’t available yet.
Past results
From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.
Trends
- Nacional won 16 of 25 matches in which they scored first, since 10 Nov 2024.
- Primeira Liga, since 11 Aug 2023: home sides leading by one goal after 70 minutes won 187 of 245.
- Not both teams scored in 7 of Nacional's last 10 home league games.
Home and away
NacionalNacional at home
Last 5: 2 won, 0 drawn, 3 lost
- WonSC Braga25 Oct 20261–0
- LostFamalicao19 Sep 20260–4
- LostAlverca12 Sep 20261–3
- LostEstrela30 Aug 20262–3
- WonEstoril16 Aug 20262–0
Nacional: home league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 12 scored, 13 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 3 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 4 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 5 of 10
Academico ViseuAcademico Viseu away
Last 5: 3 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost
- WonSporting CP25 Oct 20262–1
- LostFátimaTaça de Portugal18 Oct 20260–1
- WonEstrela20 Sep 20262–0
- WonGIL Vicente6 Sep 20261–0
- DrawnMaritimo22 Aug 20262–2
Academico Viseu: away league games
Last 5 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 9 scored, 5 conceded in 5
- Both teams scored
- 3 of 5
- Over 2.5 goals
- 3 of 5
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 5
Rest and schedule
Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.
Nacional- Last match
- 6 days before1 Nov 2026 · v Arouca · Primeira Liga
- Next match
- Not known
Academico Viseu- Last match
- 6 days before1 Nov 2026 · v Rio Ave · Primeira Liga
- Next match
- Not known
When the score changes
Each team's results from a given score, in its covered competitions since 10 Nov 2024. Every figure shows how many matches it covers.
Nacional
| Score | Nacional | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| Scored first | 16 won, 3 drawn, 6 lost in 25 matches | 639 won, 194 drawn, 116 lost in 949 matches |
| Conceded first | 2 won, 8 drawn, 33 lost in 43 matches | 116 won, 194 drawn, 639 lost in 949 matches |
| Level at half-time | 7 won, 7 drawn, 18 lost in 32 matches | 279 won, 296 drawn, 279 lost in 854 matches |
| Level after 60 minutes | 5 won, 5 drawn, 16 lost in 26 matches | 203 won, 308 drawn, 203 lost in 714 matches |
| 1 goal down after 60 minutes | 1 won, 4 drawn, 16 lost in 21 matches | 29 won, 84 drawn, 292 lost in 405 matches |
| Level after 70 minutes | 3 won, 7 drawn, 11 lost in 21 matches | 144 won, 296 drawn, 144 lost in 584 matches |
| 1 goal down after 80 minutes | 0 won, 2 drawn, 20 lost in 22 matches | 12 won, 70 drawn, 342 lost in 424 matches |
| Level after 15 minutes | 14 won, 8 drawn, 25 lost in 47 matches | 518 won, 388 drawn, 518 lost in 1424 matches |
| Level after 30 minutes | 10 won, 8 drawn, 23 lost in 41 matches | 384 won, 336 drawn, 384 lost in 1104 matches |
Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.
| Score | Nacional | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| All matches | 15 scored, 23 conceded (70) | 633 scored, 633 conceded (2026) |
| When trailing after 75 minutes | 8 scored, 7 conceded (33) | 197 scored, 240 conceded (723) |
After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 47 times, equalised within 15 minutes 6, by full time 19(league sides: 1,082 times, within 15 minutes 174, by full time 477)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.
League sides: every team in this league since 11 Aug 2023, both venues, each match counted once for each side. Shown for context, not as a comparison.
xG and expected points
Each team's xG and points from its own earlier league matches, before this kick-off. Facts about past matches, not a forecast for this one.
Since 10 Nov 2024
| Nacional | Academico Viseu | |
|---|---|---|
| 69 | Matches with xG | — |
| 73.35 | xG for | — |
| 73 | Goals scored | — |
| 103.00 | xG against | — |
| 101 | Goals conceded | — |
Nacional
Show the numbers
| Date | Opponent | xG for | xG against | Goals (tick; no tick = 0) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Nov 2026 | at Arouca | 0.34 | 0.74 | 0–1 |
| 25 Oct 2026 | v SC Braga | 0.48 | 1.67 | 1–0 |
| 11 Oct 2026 | at Rio Ave | 1.36 | 1.71 | 2–3 |
| 19 Sep 2026 | v Famalicao | 1.23 | 1.45 | 0–4 |
| 12 Sep 2026 | v Alverca | 2.20 | 1.16 | 1–3 |
| 5 Sep 2026 | at Sporting CP | 0.08 | 3.00 | 0–2 |
| 30 Aug 2026 | v Estrela | 0.83 | 2.10 | 2–3 |
| 23 Aug 2026 | at Vitória SC | 0.42 | 3.14 | 0–1 |
| 16 Aug 2026 | v Estoril | 2.03 | 0.86 | 2–0 |
| 10 Aug 2026 | at Santa Clara | 1.23 | 1.74 | 2–2 |
This league season
Primeira Liga matches since 7 Aug 2026.
| Nacional | Academico Viseu | |
|---|---|---|
| 10 of 10 | Matches with xG | 10 of 10 |
| 7 | Points in those matches | 20 |
| 9.86 | xPts | 10.39 |
| 10.20 | xG for | 11.55 |
| 17.57 | xG against | 17.03 |
Each figure is a total over the matches shown beside it.
xG: API-Football. xPts: Ledger, from xG with a Poisson model that treats the two teams' goals as independent. That model slightly under-counts draws, so xPts totals come out a little high.
PRO depth
PRO depth: Nacional and Academico Viseu
- Corners won and concededPRO
- Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
- Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
- First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
Injuries and suspensions
Team news not available yet.
Updated 7 Nov 2026, 14:27 GMT
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