NEOM v Al-Ettifaq match analysis
This analysis was locked at kick-off on Sat 17 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.
Pre-match analysis · as published
Written before kick-off
NEOM start as slight favourites with a 45% win probability at home, though the match is competitive with Al-Ettifaq given a 28% chance. The model expects around 2.71 goals, with NEOM projected to create a small attacking advantage.
How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off
- 45%NEOM win
- 27%Draw
- 28%Al-Ettifaq win
PRO analysis
The full analysis is part of PRO
PRO members can read the full analysis exactly as it was published: the evidence and the risks behind our estimate.
See PRO plansFree on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.
Form · newest first
NEOMLast 5: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 defeat
Al-EttifaqLast 5: 1 win, 3 draws, 1 defeat
Past results
From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.
Trends
- Al-Ettifaq unbeaten in their last 5 away games.
- Both teams scored in 7 of NEOM's last 10 home league games.
Last meetings
Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.
2 meetings: NEOM 0, draws 2, Al-Ettifaq 0
Goals: NEOM 1, Al-Ettifaq 1
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 21 May 2026 | NEOM v Al-Ettifaq | 1–1 |
| 21 Jan 2026 | Al-Ettifaq v NEOM | 0–0 |
Home and away
NEOMNEOM at home
Last 5: 3 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost
- WonAl-Fateh13 Sep 20264–2
- WonAl Khaleej Saihat3 Sep 20263–0
- LostAl-Qadisiyah FC24 Aug 20260–2
- WonAl-Fayha14 Aug 20262–1
- DrawnAl-Ettifaq21 May 20261–1
NEOM: home league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 17 scored, 12 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 7 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 6 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 10
Al-EttifaqAl-Ettifaq away
Last 5: 3 won, 2 drawn, 0 lost
- DrawnAl-Qadisiyah FC11 Sep 20263–3
- WonAbha4 Sep 20261–0
- WonAl-Fateh22 Aug 20261–0
- DrawnNEOM21 May 20261–1
- WonAl Khaleej Saihat9 May 20265–0
Al-Ettifaq: away league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 15 scored, 14 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 4 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 5 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 10
Rest and schedule
Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.
NEOM- Last match
- 4 days before13 Oct 2026 · v Al Sha'ab Hadhramaut · AGCFF Gulf Champions League
- Next match
- 3 days after20 Oct 2026 · v Al-Nassr · Pro League
Al-Ettifaq- Last match
- 3 days before14 Oct 2026 · v Kazma · AGCFF Gulf Champions League
- Next match
- 3 days after20 Oct 2026 · v Al-Ittihad FC · Pro League
Injuries and suspensions
Team news was not available for this match.
Published 17 Oct 2026, 15:37 BST · not changed since
All fixtures