UEFA Nations League
Norway
17:00
Wales
Sat 14 Nov 2026 · GMTLeague A · Matchday 5

Norway v Wales · analysis and preview

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No signal on this match

Most likely: Norway win

Norway are favoured to win, with the model estimating expected goals of 1.74 for the home side and 0.86 for Wales, a gap of 0.88 in Norway's favour. Both teams arrive in poor form: Norway have lost three of their last five, while Wales have won just once in their last five. Head-to-head, Wales beat Norway 2-1 in their last meeting.

How the match could end · our estimate

  • 58%Norway win
  • 25%Draw
  • 17%Wales win

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Form · newest first

NorwayNorway

Last 5: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 defeats

  1. lost1–2at Portugal
  2. lost1–2at Wales
  3. lost1–2v Portugal
  4. won3–2v Denmark
  5. drew1–1final 1–2v England
WalesWales

Last 5: 1 win, no draws, 4 defeats

  1. lost0–1v Denmark
  2. won2–1v Norway
  3. lost0–2at Denmark
  4. lost0–1at Portugal
  5. lost1–2at Romania

Head-to-head

DateMatchScore
1 Oct 2026Wales — Norway2–1

Injuries and suspensions

Team news not available yet.

Updated 7 Nov 2026, 15:38 GMT

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