Numancia v Oviedo match analysis

This analysis was locked at kick-off on Wed 28 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.

Pre-match analysis · as published

Written before kick-off

Oviedo hold a 57% chance of victory over Numancia, who have managed just one win in their last three outings. The visitors are expected to create significantly more chances, with a projected total of 2.69 goals and a gap of 0.87 in Oviedo's favour. Oviedo's form is mixed (two wins and two draws in their last five), while Numancia have struggled recently.

How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off

19%Numancia win
24%Draw
57%Oviedo win

PRO analysis

The full analysis is part of PRO

PRO members can read the full analysis exactly as it was published: the evidence and the risks behind our estimate.

See PRO plans

Free on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.

Form · newest first

Numancia

Last 3: 1 win, no draws, 2 defeats

Oviedo

Last 5: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 defeat

Head-to-head

Head-to-head data was not available for this match.

Past results

From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.

Trends

Over 2.5 goals in 8 of Oviedo's last 10 away league games.

Home and away

Numancia

Numancia at home

Last 4: 1 won, 0 drawn, 3 lost

LostMallorca2 Dec 20252–3
WonArenas Getxo29 Oct 20253–0
LostSporting Gijon30 Oct 20240–1
LostSporting Gijon21 Dec 20220–3

Oviedo

Oviedo away

Last 5: 2 won, 1 drawn, 2 lost

DrawnAlmeriaSegunda División24 Oct 20262–2
WonAD Ceuta FCSegunda División18 Oct 20262–1
LostEldenseSegunda División2 Oct 20261–4
LostSabadellSegunda División20 Sep 20261–3
WonValladolidSegunda División13 Sep 20263–0

Oviedo: away league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals: 13 scored, 18 conceded in 10
Both teams scored: 4 of 10
Over 2.5 goals: 8 of 10
Clean sheets: 3 of 10

Rest and schedule

Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.

Numancia

Last match: 10 days before18 Oct 2026 · v CF Talavera · Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Next match: 4 days after1 Nov 2026 · v Atlético Tordesillas · Segunda División RFEF - Group 5

Oviedo

Last match: 4 days before24 Oct 2026 · v Almeria · Segunda División
Next match: 5 days after2 Nov 2026 · v Las Palmas · Segunda División

PRO depth

PRO depth: Numancia and Oviedo

Corners won and concededPRO
Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
First-half goals, scored and concededPRO

PRO: these figures for both teams

Injuries and suspensions

Team news was not available for this match.

Published 28 Oct 2026, 17:58 GMT · not changed since

All fixtures