Oţelul v Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe match analysis
This analysis was locked at kick-off on Sun 1 Nov 2026 and has not been changed since.
Pre-match analysis · as published
Written before kick-off
The model gives Oţelul a 52% chance of winning, with Sepsi at 21% and a draw at 27%. Expected goals stand at 1.56 for Oţelul and 0.94 for Sepsi, totalling 2.5. Both teams are in poor form: Oţelul have lost four of their last five matches, while Sepsi have won only once in five. The sides split recent meetings, with Oţelul winning 3-0 away and Sepsi winning 2-0 at home.
How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off
- 52%Oţelul win
- 27%Draw
- 21%Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe win
PRO analysis
The full analysis is part of PRO
PRO members can read the full analysis exactly as it was published: the evidence and the risks behind our estimate.
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Form · newest first
OţelulLast 5: no wins, 1 draw, 4 defeats
- lost3–4at Farul Constanta
- drew1–1v Csikszereda
- lost0–1at FCSB
- lost2–3v Corvinul Hunedoara
- lost0–3at Universitatea Cluj
Sepsi OSK Sfantu GheorgheLast 5: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 defeats
- lost0–5v Universitatea Craiova
- drew1–1at Petrolul Ploiesti
- lost0–2v Dinamo Bucuresti
- lost0–1at Uta Arad
- won3–1v CFR 1907 Cluj
Past results
From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.
Trends
- Oţelul won 22 of 30 matches in which they scored first, since 28 Feb 2025.
- Liga I, since 23 Feb 2025: home sides leading by one goal after 70 minutes won 92 of 116.
- Under 2.5 goals in 8 of Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe's last 10 away league games.
- Both teams scored in 7 of Oţelul's last 10 home league games.
Last meetings
Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.
5 meetings: Oţelul 2, draws 1, Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe 2
Goals: Oţelul 8, Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe 6
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr 2025 | Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe v Oţelul | 0–3 |
| 26 Jan 2025 | Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe v Oţelul | 2–0 |
| 30 Aug 2024 | Oţelul v Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe | 2–0 |
| 12 Dec 2023 | Oţelul v Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe | 2–3 |
| 7 Aug 2023 | Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe v Oţelul | 1–1 |
Home and away
OţelulOţelul at home
Last 5: 1 won, 2 drawn, 2 lost
- DrawnCsikszereda16 Oct 20261–1
- LostCorvinul Hunedoara21 Sep 20262–3
- LostRapid6 Sep 20260–1
- WonArges Pitesti24 Aug 20261–0
- DrawnUniversitatea Craiova16 Aug 20261–1
Oţelul: home league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 14 scored, 12 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 7 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 4 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 10
Sepsi OSK Sfantu GheorgheSepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe away
Last 5: 1 won, 2 drawn, 2 lost
- DrawnPetrolul Ploiesti17 Oct 20261–1
- LostUta Arad18 Sep 20260–1
- LostFC Botosani5 Sep 20260–5
- WonArges Pitesti29 Aug 20261–0
- DrawnCsikszereda15 Aug 20260–0
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe: away league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 5 scored, 12 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 4 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 2 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 10
Rest and schedule
Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.
Oţelul- Last match
- 7 days before25 Oct 2026 · v Farul Constanta · Liga I
- Next match
- 8 days after9 Nov 2026 · v FC Botosani · Liga I
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe- Last match
- 3 days before29 Oct 2026 · v Concordia · Cupa României
- Next match
- 7 days after8 Nov 2026 · v FC Voluntari · Liga I
When the score changes
Each team's results from a given score, in its covered competitions since 28 Feb 2025. Every figure shows how many matches it covers.
Oţelul
| Score | Oţelul | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| Scored first | 22 won, 5 drawn, 3 lost in 30 matches | 336 won, 101 drawn, 50 lost in 487 matches |
| Conceded first | 2 won, 6 drawn, 20 lost in 28 matches | 50 won, 101 drawn, 336 lost in 487 matches |
| Level at half-time | 5 won, 8 drawn, 10 lost in 23 matches | 136 won, 170 drawn, 136 lost in 442 matches |
| Level after 60 minutes | 2 won, 9 drawn, 9 lost in 20 matches | 106 won, 168 drawn, 106 lost in 380 matches |
| Level after 15 minutes | 14 won, 14 drawn, 17 lost in 45 matches | 279 won, 230 drawn, 279 lost in 788 matches |
| Level after 30 minutes | 9 won, 11 drawn, 13 lost in 33 matches | 194 won, 192 drawn, 194 lost in 580 matches |
Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.
| Score | Oţelul | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| All matches | 15 scored, 13 conceded (63) | 283 scored, 283 conceded (1052) |
| When leading after 75 minutes | 8 scored, 5 conceded (26) | 110 scored, 97 conceded (368) |
| When trailing after 75 minutes | 6 scored, 6 conceded (23) | 97 scored, 110 conceded (368) |
After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 34 times, equalised within 15 minutes 6, by full time 15(league sides: 547 times, within 15 minutes 82, by full time 229)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.
League sides: every team in this league since 23 Feb 2025, both venues, each match counted once for each side. Shown for context, not as a comparison.
PRO depth
PRO depth: Oţelul and Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
- Corners won and concededPRO
- Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
- Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
- First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
Injuries and suspensions
Team news was not available for this match.
Published 1 Nov 2026, 11:58 GMT · not changed since
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