FA Cup
0–1Finished
Sat 7 Nov 2026 · 15:00 GMTKassam Stadium, Oxford

Oxford United v Stevenage match analysis

This analysis was locked at kick-off on Sat 7 Nov 2026 and has not been changed since.

Pre-match analysis · as published

Written before kick-off

Oxford United are given a 52% chance of winning this League Two match against Stevenage, with draws at 27% and an away victory at 21%. Expected goals total 2.5, with a gap of 0.62 in Oxford's favour. Oxford have taken 3 wins from 5 recent games (WDWDW); Stevenage show a more inconsistent run of results (DLWLW).

How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off

  • 52%Oxford United win
  • 27%Draw
  • 21%Stevenage win

PRO analysis

The full analysis is part of PRO

PRO members can read the full analysis exactly as it was published: the evidence and the risks behind our estimate.

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Free on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.

Form · newest first

Oxford UnitedOxford United

Last 5: 3 wins, 2 draws, no defeats

  1. won2–0v Reading
  2. drew1–1at Barnsley
  3. won1–0v Stockport County
  4. drew0–0v Bradford
  5. won2–1v Wigan
StevenageStevenage

Last 5: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 defeats

  1. drew2–2at Leicester
  2. lost0–1v Milton Keynes Dons
  3. won3–0v Plymouth
  4. lost0–2at Bradford
  5. won1–0v Wigan

Past results

From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.

Trends

  • Oxford United won 2 of the last 3 meetings.
  • Oxford United unbeaten in their last 5 home games.
  • Under 2.5 goals in 7 of Stevenage's last 10 away league games.

Last meetings

Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.

3 meetings: Oxford United 2, draws 1, Stevenage 0

Goals: Oxford United 6, Stevenage 3

DateMatchScore
22 Aug 2026Stevenage v Oxford UnitedLeague One1–2
19 Apr 2024Oxford United v StevenageLeague One1–1
30 Sep 2023Stevenage v Oxford UnitedLeague One1–3

Home and away

Oxford United

Oxford United at home

Last 5: 3 won, 2 drawn, 0 lost

  • WonReadingLeague One4 Nov 20262–0
  • WonStockport CountyLeague One27 Oct 20261–0
  • DrawnBradfordLeague One24 Oct 20260–0
  • WonWiganLeague One20 Oct 20262–1
  • DrawnCambridge UnitedLeague One19 Sep 20261–1

Oxford United: home league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
17 scored, 6 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
4 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
4 of 10
Clean sheets
5 of 10
Stevenage

Stevenage away

Last 5: 1 won, 2 drawn, 2 lost

  • DrawnLeicesterLeague One31 Oct 20262–2
  • LostBradfordLeague One17 Oct 20260–2
  • LostLeyton OrientLeague One19 Sep 20260–1
  • WonBarnsleyLeague One5 Sep 20265–1
  • DrawnPeterboroughLeague One1 Sep 20260–0

Stevenage: away league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
11 scored, 15 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
5 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
3 of 10
Clean sheets
2 of 10

Rest and schedule

Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.

Oxford United
Last match
3 days before4 Nov 2026 · v Reading · League One
Next match
3 days after10 Nov 2026 · v Cheltenham · EFL Trophy
Stevenage
Last match
7 days before31 Oct 2026 · v Leicester · League One
Next match
3 days after10 Nov 2026 · v Fulham U21 · EFL Trophy

PRO depth

PRO depth: Oxford United and Stevenage

  • Corners won and concededPRO
  • Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
  • Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
  • First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
PRO: these figures for both teams

Injuries and suspensions

Team news was not available for this match.

Published 7 Nov 2026, 14:02 GMT · not changed since

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