Padova v Carrarese match analysis
This analysis was locked at kick-off on Sun 11 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.
Pre-match analysis · as published
Written before kick-off
Padova are slight favourites over Carrarese with a 47% win probability, but both teams are struggling with one win between them in their last ten matches combined. Limited data on both sides means this match is difficult to forecast with confidence.
How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off
- 47%Padova win
- 24%Draw
- 29%Carrarese win
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Form · newest first
PadovaLast 5: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 defeats
CarrareseLast 5: no wins, 1 draw, 4 defeats
Past results
From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.
Trends
- Padova unbeaten in their last 5 home games.
- Carrarese without a win in their last 5 away games.
- Under 2.5 goals in 8 of Padova's last 10 home league games.
- Under 2.5 goals in 7 of Carrarese's last 10 away league games.
Last meetings
Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.
2 meetings: Padova 1, draws 1, Carrarese 0
Goals: Padova 1, Carrarese 0
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb 2026 | Padova v Carrarese | 1–0 |
| 31 Aug 2025 | Carrarese v Padova | 0–0 |
Home and away
PadovaPadova at home
Last 5: 4 won, 1 drawn, 0 lost
- WonAscoli12 Sep 20261–0
- DrawnHellas Verona29 Aug 20261–1
- WonPescara1 May 20261–0
- WonReggiana19 Apr 20261–0
- WonEmpoli12 Apr 20261–0
Padova: home league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 10 scored, 8 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 4 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 2 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 5 of 10
CarrareseCarrarese away
Last 5: 0 won, 1 drawn, 4 lost
- LostCatanzaro12 Sep 20260–1
- DrawnAscoli29 Aug 20261–1
- LostTorinoCoppa Italia15 Aug 20260–1
- LostVirtus Entella8 May 20261–2
- LostFrosinone25 Apr 20260–3
Carrarese: away league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 7 scored, 14 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 4 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 3 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 10
Rest and schedule
Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.
Padova- Last match
- 22 days before19 Sep 2026 · v Palermo · Serie B · Italy
- Next match
- 6 days after17 Oct 2026 · v Virtus Entella · Serie B · Italy
Carrarese- Last match
- 22 days before19 Sep 2026 · v Benevento · Serie B · Italy
- Next match
- 6 days after17 Oct 2026 · v Modena · Serie B · Italy
Injuries and suspensions
Team news was not available for this match.
Published 11 Oct 2026, 15:22 BST · not changed since
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