Padova v Sudtirol match analysis
This analysis was locked at kick-off on Tue 27 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.
Pre-match analysis · as published
Written before kick-off
The model gives Padova a 38% chance of winning, with draws at 31% and Südtirol wins at 31%. Expected goals of 2.21 suggest a low-scoring contest, with a 0.11-goal gap in Padova's favour. Both sides have mixed recent form, and their two previous meetings have been competitive.
How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off
- 38%Padova win
- 31%Draw
- 31%Sudtirol win
PRO analysis
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Form · newest first
PadovaLast 5: 2 wins, no draws, 3 defeats
SudtirolLast 5: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 defeats
Past results
From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.
Trends
- Under 2.5 goals in 7 of Padova's last 10 home league games.
Last meetings
Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.
2 meetings: Padova 0, draws 1, Sudtirol 1
Goals: Padova 1, Sudtirol 4
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan 2026 | Sudtirol v Padova | 3–0 |
| 1 Nov 2025 | Padova v Sudtirol | 1–1 |
Home and away
PadovaPadova at home
Last 5: 2 won, 1 drawn, 2 lost
- LostVirtus Entella17 Oct 20261–2
- LostCarrarese11 Oct 20260–2
- WonAscoli12 Sep 20261–0
- DrawnHellas Verona29 Aug 20261–1
- WonPescara1 May 20261–0
Padova: home league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 9 scored, 11 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 4 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 3 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 10
SudtirolSudtirol away
Last 5: 1 won, 2 drawn, 2 lost
- LostJuve Stabia18 Oct 20260–3
- WonArezzo20 Sep 20264–1
- LostGenoaCoppa Italia15 Sep 20260–1
- DrawnBenevento30 Aug 20261–1
- DrawnCatanzaroCoppa Italia15 Aug 20262–2 PEN
Sudtirol: away league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 13 scored, 19 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 5 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 6 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 10
Rest and schedule
Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.
Padova- Last match
- 3 days before24 Oct 2026 · v Avellino · Serie B · Italy
- Next match
- 4 days after31 Oct 2026 · v Catanzaro · Serie B · Italy
Sudtirol- Last match
- 3 days before24 Oct 2026 · v Sampdoria · Serie B · Italy
- Next match
- 4 days after31 Oct 2026 · v Cesena · Serie B · Italy
Injuries and suspensions
Team news was not available for this match.
Published 27 Oct 2026, 17:57 GMT · not changed since
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