Padova v Virtus Entella match analysis
This analysis was locked at kick-off on Sat 17 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.
Pre-match analysis · as published
Written before kick-off
The model makes Padova narrow favourites at 40% to win, compared to 30% each for a draw or Entella victory. Expected goals of 2.3 suggest a low-scoring encounter, with the hosts projected higher on xG.
How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off
- 40%Padova win
- 30%Draw
- 30%Virtus Entella win
PRO analysis
The full analysis is part of PRO
PRO members can read the full analysis exactly as it was published: the evidence and the risks behind our estimate.
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Form · newest first
PadovaLast 5: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 defeats
Virtus EntellaLast 5: 1 win, 3 draws, 1 defeat
Past results
From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.
Trends
- Under 2.5 goals in 8 of Padova's last 10 home league games.
- Under 2.5 goals in 7 of Virtus Entella's last 10 away league games.
- Not both teams scored in 8 of Virtus Entella's last 10 away league games.
Last meetings
Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.
2 meetings: Padova 1, draws 0, Virtus Entella 1
Goals: Padova 2, Virtus Entella 2
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr 2026 | Virtus Entella v Padova | 1–0 |
| 21 Sep 2025 | Padova v Virtus Entella | 2–1 |
Home and away
PadovaPadova at home
Last 5: 3 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost
- LostCarrarese11 Oct 20260–2
- WonAscoli12 Sep 20261–0
- DrawnHellas Verona29 Aug 20261–1
- WonPescara1 May 20261–0
- WonReggiana19 Apr 20261–0
Padova: home league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 9 scored, 10 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 4 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 2 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 10
Virtus EntellaVirtus Entella away
Last 5: 1 won, 2 drawn, 2 lost
- DrawnCremonese19 Sep 20260–0
- WonPisa11 Sep 20264–1
- LostSudtirol22 Aug 20260–1
- DrawnHellas VeronaCoppa Italia16 Aug 20262–2 PEN
- LostBari1 May 20260–2
Virtus Entella: away league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 6 scored, 14 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 2 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 3 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 10
Rest and schedule
Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.
Padova- Last match
- 6 days before11 Oct 2026 · v Carrarese · Serie B · Italy
- Next match
- 7 days after24 Oct 2026 · v Avellino · Serie B · Italy
Virtus Entella- Last match
- 7 days before10 Oct 2026 · v Juve Stabia · Serie B · Italy
- Next match
- 7 days after24 Oct 2026 · v Mantova · Serie B · Italy
Injuries and suspensions
Team news was not available for this match.
Published 17 Oct 2026, 12:57 BST · not changed since
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