Palermo v Vicenza Virtus match analysis
This analysis was locked at kick-off on Sun 1 Nov 2026 and has not been changed since.
Pre-match analysis · as published
Written before kick-off
Palermo are strong favourites at home with the model giving them a 68% chance of winning, compared to 12% for Vicenza Virtus. The hosts have won four of their last five matches, while Vicenza show mixed recent form. Expected goals favour Palermo at 2.19 to 0.84, a gap of 1.35 in their favour.
How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off
- 68%Palermo win
- 20%Draw
- 12%Vicenza Virtus win
PRO analysis
The full analysis is part of PRO
PRO members can read the full analysis exactly as it was published: the evidence and the risks behind our estimate.
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Form · newest first
Last 5: 4 wins, 1 draw, no defeats
- drew3–3at Pisa
- won2–1v Carrarese
- won2–0at Mantova
- won4–2at Empoli
- won2–1v Padova
Last 5: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 defeats
- lost1–2v Modena
- won2–0at Empoli
- drew2–2at Benevento
- lost0–3v Pisa
- lost1–2at Hellas Verona
Head-to-head
Head-to-head data was not available for this match.
Past results
From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.
Trends
- Palermo won 24 of 28 matches in which they scored first, since 19 Sept 2025.
- Serie B, since 19 Sept 2025: home sides leading by one goal after 70 minutes won 83 of 111.
- Palermo unbeaten in their last 5 home games.
- Not both teams scored in 7 of Vicenza Virtus's last 10 away league games.
Home and away
Palermo at home
Last 5: 5 won, 0 drawn, 0 lost
- WonCarrarese25 Oct 20262–1
- WonPadova19 Sep 20262–1
- WonSampdoria7 Sep 20263–1
- WonMantovaCoppa Italia3 Sep 20265–2
- WonJuve Stabia23 Aug 20261–0
Palermo: home league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 21 scored, 8 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 6 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 6 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 10
Vicenza Virtus away
Last 5: 1 won, 2 drawn, 2 lost
- WonEmpoli23 Oct 20262–0
- DrawnBenevento17 Oct 20262–2
- LostHellas Verona20 Sep 20261–2
- DrawnVirtus Entella6 Sep 20262–2
- LostAvellino29 Aug 20260–3
Vicenza Virtus: away league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 10 scored, 14 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 3 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 4 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 10
Rest and schedule
Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.
- Last match
- 4 days before28 Oct 2026 · v Pisa · Serie B · Italy
- Next match
- 5 days after6 Nov 2026 · v Ascoli · Serie B · Italy
- Last match
- 5 days before27 Oct 2026 · v Modena · Serie B · Italy
- Next match
- 7 days after8 Nov 2026 · v Cremonese · Serie B · Italy
When the score changes
Each team's results from a given score, in its covered competitions since 19 Sept 2025. Every figure shows how many matches it covers.
Palermo
| Score | Palermo | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| Scored first | 24 won, 3 drawn, 1 lost in 28 matches | 257 won, 109 drawn, 63 lost in 429 matches |
| 1 goal up after 70 minutes | 16 won, 4 drawn, 0 lost in 20 matches | 138 won, 47 drawn, 8 lost in 193 matches |
| Level after 15 minutes | 15 won, 11 drawn, 7 lost in 33 matches | 242 won, 220 drawn, 242 lost in 704 matches |
| Level after 30 minutes | 9 won, 10 drawn, 6 lost in 25 matches | 169 won, 180 drawn, 169 lost in 518 matches |
Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.
| Score | Palermo | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| All matches | 24 scored, 10 conceded (49) | 287 scored, 287 conceded (916) |
| When leading after 75 minutes | 11 scored, 5 conceded (24) | 101 scored, 98 conceded (310) |
After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 21 times, equalised within 15 minutes 6, by full time 14(league sides: 485 times, within 15 minutes 96, by full time 233)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.
League sides: every team in this league since 19 Sept 2025, both venues, each match counted once for each side. Shown for context, not as a comparison.
PRO depth
PRO depth: Palermo and Vicenza Virtus
- Corners won and concededPRO
- Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
- Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
- First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
Injuries and suspensions
Team news was not available for this match.
Published 1 Nov 2026, 17:33 GMT · not changed since
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